Today’s GDP Revision

The government updated its fourth-quarter GDP report today. Instead of growing by 3.5%, it turns out that the economy only grew by 2.2%. That’s the biggest revision in ten years. Still, if you look at it in the larger context, it’s not that big of a change.
Here, if you squint real hard, you might be able to make it out:
What’s interesting is that this is the third straight quarter of below-trend GDP growth. But it’s not that far below trend. From September 2003 to March 2006, the economy grew at annualized rate of 3.4%. For the last three quarters, it has averaged 2.2% growth. That’s slower growth, but there’s still no evidence of a recession.

Posted by on February 28th, 2007 at 10:19 am

The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.