Latest from Intrade

With one day to go before the election, I update my implied House result using prices from Intrade:

Here’s my earlier post which explains how I was able to derive these numbers.

The latest prices are 54.0 for the 60 seats or more and 85.0 for 50 seats or more. That works out to a GOP gain of 60.1 House seats with a standard deviation of 10.7 seats.

Posted by on November 1st, 2010 at 9:48 am


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