• Marcy Kaptur Pwns Bernanke
    Posted by on June 6th, 2009 at 2:30 pm

    Several months ago, a YouTube video made the rounds of Ron Paul questioning Ben Bernanke. The video was hailed as Paul putting Bernanke in his place. That’s not what I saw. Megan McArdle summed it up best: “I see a really, really smart economist responding to Ron Paul the same way you react to Cousin Mildred when she corners you after Christmas dinner to complain about the flouridation of the water supply.”
    That’s pretty much what I see in this video that’s currently making the rounds:

    Incidentally, Kaptur is the same person who didn’t even know who Bernanke was last year.

  • Morning Links
    Posted by on June 5th, 2009 at 10:01 am

    Here are a few items floating around the interblogs.
    Abnormal Returns has an excellent post called Being right is overrated. AB should do more writing. David Merkel has a reply.
    Justin Fox asks Are Stocks Still Good for the Long Run? My answer—they’re good enough.
    Government benefit checks accounted for one-sixth of personal income in the first quarter.
    Jim Cramer says Bernanke has saved us from the second Great Depression.
    The LA Times notes the return of the male prostitute. Sadly, no mention is made of Fred Garvin.

  • Job Market Sucks Somewhat Less than Expected
    Posted by on June 5th, 2009 at 9:40 am

    The jobs numbers are out today. Unemployment hit 9.4% last month and the nonfarm payrolls fell by 345,000 which was much less than the 525,000 loss Wall Street was expecting.
    image818.png
    The unemployment hasn’t been this high since August 1983. The rate is being reported as 9.4% but looking at the details, it’s 9.357% which rounds up.
    See how the last two bars on the NFP graph look like the beginning of a trend. That’s what the market has been so excited about.
    image819.png

  • Financials and Techs Divided by the S&P 500
    Posted by on June 4th, 2009 at 1:26 pm

    Here’s a look at the S&P Financial Sector Index (^SPSY) and Technology Sector Index (^SPLY) divided by the S&P 500 (^SPX). A rising line means that the industry group is outperforming; a falling line means it’s underperforming.
    image817.png

  • Happy 75th Birthday SEC
    Posted by on June 4th, 2009 at 11:50 am

    On June 6, 1934, FDR signed into law the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 which bright the Securities and Exchange Commission to Life. Roosevelt then appointed Joseph P. Kennedy to be its first head which caused some to think this was “setting a wolf to guard a flock of sheep.” (Incidentally, Georgetown hosts the poorly named Joseph P. and Rose F. Kennedy Institute of Ethics).
    This hasn’t been a good year for the SEC. Regulators continue their war against efficient markets. Last year’s shorting ban in financial stocks was a bust (financials underperformed the broader market). The SEC completely missed the Madoff scandal after being told what was happening. The agency’s own inspector general said they bungled the Pequot Capital thing (“raised serious questions about the impartiality and fairness”).
    It gets even worse. Check out this Dow wire story from earlier this week:

    The internal watchdog at the Securities and Exchange Commission revealed Monday his office is investigating several employees, including one top SEC official, after receiving complaints alleging they improperly disclosed non-public information.
    One pending investigation by SEC Inspector General H. David Kotz comes in response to an allegation that a top SEC official improperly disclosed non-public information to a large investment bank.
    In another case, Kotz reported that his office is investigating two enforcement attorneys for possibly disclosing non-public information from an internal SEC database to a corrupt FBI agent and short seller who was later convicted of fraud, racketeering and conspiracy.
    Then, in yet a third case, the inspector general said he’s looking into whether a former SEC attorney may have revealed confidential investigative information in a book he wrote. Kotz said the attorney may have provided the privileged information to a company where he worked as a lobbyist after leaving the SEC.
    Separately, his office is also trying to determine if non-public information may have been disclosed to a national news outlet.
    Kotz, who is leading the internal investigation into the agency’s failure to detect Bernard Madoff’s Ponzi scheme, disclosed some details about his pending investigations in his newly published semi-annual report to Congress on Monday.
    In it, he said he has 19 pending investigations, one of which is tied to the Madoff failings.

    Here’s to 75 more years!

  • Fantasy Football Lawsuit
    Posted by on June 4th, 2009 at 11:34 am

    The AP reports:

    Yahoo Inc. has sued the NFL Players Association, claiming it shouldn’t have to pay royalties to use players’ statistics, photos and other data in its popular online fantasy football game because the information is already publicly available.

    Let’s see if I have this right: A company is bringing a real lawsuit against a group of adult men who play a children’s game for their statistics which are used by other adult men who merely pretend they’re in charge of the first group of adult men while they play the children’s game.
    There are the parts of the New Economy I like best.

  • Odd Lots
    Posted by on June 4th, 2009 at 7:50 am

    Here are some assorted links I wanted to pass on:
    Why having the Penguins win the Stanley Cup is good for the stock market.
    Here’s an investment beating stocks and gold this year.
    Actual academic report: The economics of Dr. Seuss.
    Jeremy Siegel “virtually sure” it’s not going to be a long wait for a good return on stocks.
    The rally is being led by junk stocks.
    Ukraine’s economy drops 21% in Q1.
    Iceland central bank slashes rates to 12%. In other news, Iceland has a central bank?

  • Way Ahead of You
    Posted by on June 3rd, 2009 at 5:28 pm

    The Economist:

    Search your underpants for signs of a recovery

  • Good Story on DirectEdge
    Posted by on June 3rd, 2009 at 4:43 pm

  • Rep. Alan Grayson at Ritholtz-Palooza
    Posted by on June 3rd, 2009 at 4:17 pm

    Congressman Alan Grayson had some interesting comments at Barry Ritholtz’s conference today:

    Grayson appeared on a panel with Nassim Taleb, best known as the author of The Black Swan. Their exchange about the proper role of government regulation of the financial system was entertaining, if a bit meandering. Grayson, who grew up in the Bronx and holds three Harvard degrees, has a rare ability to say relatively radical things without coming off as a rabid populist. Moderator Barry Ritholtz, author of the just-published Bailout Nation, asked a straightforward question: The U.S. government does a reasonably good job of regulating things like the safety of airplanes and foods. Why, then, does it do such a lousy job of regulating the financial system?
    Grayson’s answer was immediate and succinct: “Capture.” For those not up on regulatory theory, this refers to the notion that regulators become captive of the industries they regulate. Noting that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac spent $100 million on campaign contributions over the last 10 years, Grayson said: “The system is in some sense corrupt. A senator said the other day that Wall Street owns Washington, and while I might not go that far, you don’t have the airlines ‘owning’ the [airline regulators]. There is a lot of influence that Wall Street has on the government, even the judicial branch.” Indeed, Grayson could have cited the front-page story in today’s Wall Street Journal, documenting the remarkable efficiency with which banking campaign contributions appear to have helped ease accounting rules that in turn helped the banks.