• CWS Market Review – May 25, 2021
    Posted by on May 25th, 2021 at 6:29 pm

    “I can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people.”
    – Isaac Newton

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    Finance and Physics Envy

    In this week’s issue, I’ll let you in on a little secret about finance. Finance suffers from a bad case of physics envy. The greats of physics have come up with all these cool equations that help explain the world. Finance wants in on the action.

    As a result, Finance has come with its equations as well. The problem is that the equations are good but they’re not perfect, and that matters a lot in finance.

    Finance would have you believe its practitioners are calm and rational. They simply follow the math. But sometimes numbers only tell you so much. I’ll give you an example. During the 1960s and early 1970s, there was a tremendous bull market in a select group of stocks that the press named the Nifty Fifty. Some classic Nifty 50 names were Coke, McDonalds, Disney, Polaroid, Eastman Kodak and IBM.

    There was an odd connection to many of these stocks. They were seen as companies that promoted social harmony. It may seem somewhat naïve today but that was an important concern during the tumultuous 1960s. Think of the famous Coke ad of young people from different areas of the world singing the praises of Coca-Cola.

    The Nifty 50 were considered “one decision” stocks. You just had to buy and hold on. The idea of social harmony gripped Wall Street. The valuations of the Nifty 50 soon left orbit. At one point, their collective P/E ratio was twice that of the rest of the stock market. The 1973-74 bear market was particularly hard on the Nifty 50. Bear in mind that the crash was the worst since 1929.

    Here’s a look at Disney. Adjusted for splits, the stock went from 10 cents at its 1966 low to $2.50 by its 1973 high.

    Interestingly, several of the Nifty 50 names have outperformed the market since 1972. So even paying a premium worked out after a long period. My point is that a non-numerical theme can take hold and override any concern about valuations.

    This happened during the dot-com bubble when the concern was the first-mover advantage. Everyone, I recall being told, had to be aware of this. For example, the only reason Microsoft became the big winner wasn’t because they were good. No, it was that they were first and they made the industry standard.

    This idea also goes by the name Winner-Take-All. (That was the name of a book in the 1990s, and the phrase turned up in Bill Clinton’s campaign speeches.)

    The idea is that an early entrant could establish an industry standard which remains in place simply because it’s already there. It’s not better—it’s just there. I can’t tell you how many times I was told that some Internet stock was just like the QWERTY keyboard. There was even a magazine called The Industry Standard. In 2000, it sold more ad pages than any magazine in America. Unfortunately, the magazine folded in August 2001.

    Here’s a good exercise. Imagine a roomful of people. I tell every person to choose a number between zero and 100. I say that I’ll give a cash prize to the person whose number is closest to two-thirds of the average of all the guesses.

    Well, a smart person would assume the average of everyone’s guess is around 50. Therefore, two-third of that is around 33.

    Easy? Not exactly. Everyone else is aware of the rules so they’ll say 33 as well. Now we’re caught up in a cycle of smaller guesses and still smaller two-thirds. Eventually, it will hit zero. (I believe studies of this game show the winning bid is around 15.)

    This exercise highlights an important part of finance. Market participants know they’re part of the game. Their feelings play an important role in determining the price. In physics, gravity doesn’t know it’s being watched.

    Again, numbers only tell you so much. You’ve probably heard stories like this. An art dealer has a painting she can’t move. It hangs on the wall day after day. She then triples the price, and it sells the next day. Even if it’s not literally true, it’s certainly believable.

    Academics who have studied horse-racing bets have found that the absolute worst pony to bet on is the longshot. It’s obvious to me why. Because people want to bet on the longshot. (Duh!) It’s the same as the painting. Price becomes the issue. As a result, people over-bet on the longshot which unnaturally lowers its odds.

    Does it make sense? Of course not. This isn’t rocket science. It’s much harder than that.

    Stock Focus: Veeva Systems

    I like to say that the only thing better than owning a monopoly is owning a near-monopoly. After all, the real thing tends to draw too much attention.

    That leads to me to Veeva Systems (VEEV) of Pleasanton, CA. While Veeva isn’t technically a monopoly, it enjoys many of the advantages that a monopoly has. Veeva is a cloud-computing company that’s focused on pharmaceutical and life sciences industry applications. The company was founded in 2007 by Peter Gassner and Matt Wallach. Gassner has become a billionaire along the way and he currently serves as CEO.

    What Veeva does is it helps drug companies capture clinal trial data and follow regulations while allowing their sales force to be more effective. The company has been very successful. In 2019, Veeva became the fifth software-as-a-services company to join the billion-dollar revenue club. The key is that Veeva brings the benefits of cloud computing to a single industry.

    The age of Covid has been critical for Veeva. In order to run all those clinical trials, it normally involves visiting doctors and researchers. Veeva allows that to happen virtually. That places Veeva’s services in great demand. A particular strength is that Veeva helps its clients comply with government regulations.

    I have to confess that watching Veeva has become somewhat entertaining because Wall Street consistently predicts that Veeva’s remarkable run is about to come to an end. Yet each quarterly earnings report easily dispels that notion.

    Veeva has now beaten Wall Street’s consensus for at least the last 16 quarters in a row. (It could be even longer, but that’s as far back as my data goes.)

    The next earnings report (their fiscal Q1) is due out this Thursday, May 27. For Q1, Veeva expects total revenues between $408 and $410 million and earnings between 77 and 78 cents per share. That’s unusually narrow guidance. For the entire year, Veeva sees revenues between $1.755 and $1.765 billion and earnings of $3.20 per share.

    Veeva’s stock has not done particularly well compared with the overall market. The stock has lagged since October. Veeva has been ganged up on more than once by a nest of short-sellers. Their mantra has been, “Sure, Veeva’s had some impressive growth until now but the total addressable market isn’t that large.” I think that’s way off base.

    Now let’s get to some truly remarkable stats. Veeva maintains gross margin in excess of 70%. That’s very impressive. Their operating margins are consistently over 25% and the company doesn’t carry any long-term debt. That’s a testament to how strong a position Veeva has in its market. Peter Gassner has referred to Veeva as having delivered what he calls “30/30” quarters, meaning 30% growth and 30% operating margins.

    While I like Veeva a lot, I’m not a fan of the share price. Even if we assume the company’s optimistic forecast is correct (and it probably is), that means Veeva is currently trading around 80 times this year’s earnings estimate. That’s about five times what many other stocks go for.

    I understand the need to pay for growth, but investors must keep things in perspective. Even if Veeva continues to cream estimates, the stock is still very, very pricey.

    That’s why this earnings report is so important. If traders react badly, and they often do, it could knock the shares down. Personally, I’d love to see Veeva with a lot lower share price.

    That’s all for now. I’ll have more for you in the next issue of CWS Market Review.

    – Eddy

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  • Heico Earns 51 Cents per Share
    Posted by on May 25th, 2021 at 4:27 pm

    HEICO (HEI) today reported net income of $141.3 million, or $1.03 per diluted share, in the first six months of fiscal 2021, as compared to $197.3 million, or $1.44 per diluted share, in the first six months of fiscal 2020. Net income in the second quarter of fiscal 2021 was $70.7 million, or 51 cents per diluted share, as compared to $75.5 million, or 55 cents per diluted share, in the second quarter of fiscal 2020.

    Net income, operating income and net sales in the first six months and second quarter of fiscal 2021 were adversely affected by the COVID-19 global pandemic as discussed below.

    Operating income was $177.0 million in the first six months of fiscal 2021, as compared to $219.2 million in the first six months of fiscal 2020. In the second quarter of fiscal 2021, operating income was $96.7 million, as compared to $108.2 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2020.

    The Company’s consolidated operating margin was 20.0% in the first six months of fiscal 2021, as compared to 22.5% in the first six months of fiscal 2020. The Company’s consolidated operating margin was 20.7% in the second quarter of fiscal 2021, as compared to 23.1% in the second quarter of fiscal 2020.

    Net sales were $884.6 million in the first six months of fiscal 2021, as compared to $974.4 million in the first six months of fiscal 2020. In the second quarter of fiscal 2021, net sales were $466.7 million, as compared to $468.1 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2020.

    EBITDA was $224.0 million in the first six months of fiscal 2021, as compared to $262.7 million in the first six months of fiscal 2020. In the second quarter of fiscal 2021, EBITDA was $120.0 million, as compared to $130.0 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2020. See our reconciliation of net income attributable to HEICO to EBITDA at the end of this press release.

  • Fastest Home Price Growth in 15 Years
    Posted by on May 25th, 2021 at 10:48 am

    This morning’s Case-Shiller report said that home prices rose at their fastest pace in 15 years. Over the 12-month period ending in March, home prices increased by 13.2%. In the 12-month period ending in February, prices were up 12%.

    Amazon sad it’s buying MGM. This is interesting news from the standpoint of business history.

    Louis B. Mayer was the CEO of MGM (and the second M). He was the titan of Hollywood and the highest-paid man in America.

    Oddly, MGM was a subsidiary of Loews. Marcus Loew ran a theater company. He bought Metro Pictures. Then Goldwyn pictures, and finally Mayer Pictures. Loew put Mayer in charge.

    From the 1930s through the 1950s, MGM used its star system to help establish the Golden Age of Hollywood. Mayer was forced out in 1951, and soon television took its toll on the movie business.

    In 1948, there was a landmark anti-trust case, U.S. vs. Paramount, wherein the Supreme Court said movie studios couldn’t own the theaters. In fact, that case is often used as a good example of “vertical integration.”

    That means if you own business A, you can’t use your position to get control of business B. I can make Eddy Cars, but I can’t say they only run on Eddy Gas.

    The effect of this decision is that Loews had to sell off its theaters business.

    Now with Amazon buying MGM, the content maker and content distributor are being brought back together again.

    I was not aware of this but there are firms in Asia that allow 100-to-1 margin accounts for crypto trading.

    Brian Kelly, CEO of BKCM, pointed to firms in Asia such as BitMEX allowing 100-to-1 leverage for cryptocurrency trades. Robinhood does not allow traders to use margin for cryptocurrency, and Coinbase only allows it for professional traders.

    “You get this crowd factor — everybody’s liquidation price tends to be somewhat near everyone else’s– when you hit that, all of these automatic sell orders come in, and the price just cascades down,” Kelly, told CNBC.

    Bitcoin traders liquidated roughly $12 billion in levered positions last week as the price of the cryptocurrency spiraled, according to bybt.com. This mass exodus wiped out about 800,000 crypto accounts.

    “Selling begets more selling until you come to an equilibrium on leverage in the system,” said JMP analyst Devin Ryan. That selling begins to “compound” as leveraged positions are liquidated, because they can’t meet those margin requirements, he said.

    “Leverage in the crypto markets — particularly on the retail side — has been a big theme that accentuates the volatility,” Ryan added.

  • Morning News: May 25, 2021
    Posted by on May 25th, 2021 at 7:00 am

    U.S., EU Vow to Pressure Belarus Over Diversion of Ryanair Jet

    Airlines Start Skirting Belarus After It Forced Down a Plane

    ‘Cascade of Calamities’ Plagues Tokyo’s Olympics Ambitions

    The Inflation Scare Is Over. The Fed One Is Just Getting Started.

    No Commodities ‘Super-Cycle’ But Copper Demand from Green Economy Bright

    After M&A Boom via Zoom, Dealmakers Hit the Road as COVID-19 Subsides

    Deutsche Bank’s Nightmare Decade Is Gone, But Not Yet Forgotten

    Florida, in a First, Will Fine Social Media Companies That Bar Candidates

    Apple’s Fortnite Trial Ends With Pointed Questions and a Toast to Popeyes

    Amazon Nears Deal to Buy Hollywood Studio MGM

    Scrounging for Hits, Hollywood Goes Back to the Video Game Well

    The Curious World of NFT Real Estate and Design

    Howard Lindzon: Momentum Monday – Down Goes Crypto…Up Goes The Gap?

    Cullen Roche: Three Things I Think I Think – Crypto, Crypto, Crypto

    Jeff Carter: Crypto Markets

    Ben Carlson: 4 Lessons From the Crypto Crash & Last Year vs. This Year in the Markets

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • Morning News: May 24, 2021
    Posted by on May 24th, 2021 at 7:03 am

    The SPAC Party Gets Going in Europe, This Time With Better Terms

    Inside the Race to Avert Disaster at China’s Biggest ‘Bad Bank’

    China Targets ‘Speculators and Hoarders’ to Stop Commodity Boom

    China Crypto Mining Business Hit by Beijing Crackdown, Bitcoin Tumbles

    Mainstream Markets Shrug at Volatile $1 Trillion Crypto Rout

    Three Disasters Show Gaps in $1.7 Trillion Infrastructure Plan

    The Fed Thinks It Can Have It All: Strong Economy, Job Growth, Stable Inflation

    Big Banks Look for Post-Pandemic Rebound of Credit Card Revenue

    Daimler’s Truck Unit Maps Plans to Replace Diesel With Hydrogen

    Big Candy Is Angry

    How the Pandemic Has Changed Attitudes Toward Wealth

    Jeff Carter: Digital US Dollars & 10000=$15=$350000000

    Michael Batnick: Houses Have Gotten Bigger and Nicer

    Ben Carlson: Did HGTV Ruin the Housing Market For Millennials?

    Howard Lindzon: Tiny Bubbles…Seed Stage Edition and Sunday Reads

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • Morning News: May 21, 2021
    Posted by on May 21st, 2021 at 7:04 am

    U.S. Floats 15% Global Minimum Tax on Corporate Profits

    As Paycheck Protection Program Runs Dry, Desperation Grows

    Bitcoin Taxes and Biden

    Oil Drillers and Bitcoin Miners Bond Over Natural Gas

    Soaring Prices Herald Boom Time for Steel Makers

    How the Post-Pandemic Labor Crunch is Curbing U.S. Manufacturing

    U.S. Can Learn From Others on Managing Climate Finance Risks

    How Megafirms Are Eating the World

    Irish Hospitals Are Latest to Be Hit by Ransomware Attacks

    Cathie Wood Still A Big Buyer of Coinbase, Owns $1 Billion Worth of Shares

    The World Might Be Running Low on Americans

    Joshua Brown: Of Course They’re Going to Talk About Tapering

    Howard Lindzon: Recruiting Never Ends …mParticle Hires Chee Chew

    Ben Carlson: On the Benefits of Curiosity

    Michael Batnick: Animal Spirits: The Case for Investing in Farmland

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • Morning News: May 20, 2021
    Posted by on May 20th, 2021 at 7:08 am

    Once Tech’s Favorite Economist, Now a Thorn in Its Side

    China’s Blockchain Stocks Are Avoiding Worst of Bitcoin Carnage

    Amid Elon Musk’s Dogecoin Endorsement, SEC Warns On Investing In Anything On The Word Of ‘Someone Famous’

    $ASS Coin Billionaire: Tales From the Fringe of the Crypto Craze

    Colonial Pipeline CEO Tells Why He Paid Hackers a $4.4 Million Ransom

    Microsoft and Apple Wage War on Gadget Right-to-Repair Laws

    ByteDance Founder to Step Down as CEO, Hand Over to College Roommate

    Brothers Ride the Oat Milk Boom to $448 Million Fortune

    Ford’s Electric F-150 Pickup Aims to Be the Model T of E.V.s

    How Ford Burned $12 Billion in Brazil

    ‘It’s Magic What We Do.’ Movie Theaters Get Starry-Eyed Once More.

    Dutch Court Orders Carlos Ghosn to Return $6.1 Million to Nissan

    Joshua Brown: On the Bright Side

    Howard Lindzon: The Draw Of The 200 Day Moving Average

    Michael Batnick: My Journey With Bitcoin

    Ben Carlson: Crash Rules Everything Around Me

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • Morning News: May 19, 2021
    Posted by on May 19th, 2021 at 7:05 am

    Crypto Tumble Wipes $600 Billion Off Digital Tokens in a Week

    What Beijing’s New Crackdown Means for Crypto in China

    U.S., Canada, Mexico Hold ‘Robust’ Trade Deal Talks, Downplay Differences

    Specter of 1960s Inflation Take-Off Haunts U.S. Economy Today

    No Pain, No Gain for Big Funds Hunting the Next Tesla

    Banks Always Backed Fossil Fuel Over Green Projects—Until This Year

    The Big Money Is Going Vegan

    After Media Detour, AT&T Confronts Old Problems

    Target Sales Jump 23% As Exclusive Brands, Curbside Pickup Draw In Shoppers

    Ex-TikTok CEO Seen as Contender for Discovery-WarnerMedia Streaming

    Burger King to Enter Chicken Sandwich Wars with the Ch’King

    Nick Maggiulli: Should You Ever Invest in a Leveraged Index Fund?

    Howard Lindzon: Social Leverage Companies In The News Growing and Raising Capital

    Joshua Brown: Will Inflation Crash the Stock Market? & Post Traumatic Shopping

    Michael Batnick: Inflation Doesn’t Have to Crash the Stock Market & A Shortage of Everything

    Ben Carlson: What Advice Would You Offer Newly Minted Dogecoin Millionaires?

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • CWS Market Review – May 18, 2021
    Posted by on May 18th, 2021 at 3:49 pm

    “I have no idea how this works.” – Dave Portnoy

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    You’re not alone, Dave. I recently said that I’ve been waiting 15 years for Nike (NKE) to pull back. Alas, it’s never hit the bargain bin. The sneaker company only seems to climb higher.

    See that flat blue line? That’s actually a 1,075% gain for the S&P 500. It just looks flat in comparison to 26,000% for Nike.

    For the overly literal who missed my point, I meant to say that sometimes it’s worth paying a premium for a company. Especially if it’s a premium company. There’s little point in trying to save 15% on the buy while missing the next 1,500% move. Pennywise and billions foolish.

    This is a key point in stock analysis. Nike is a wonderful company and by most conventional metrics, it’s over-priced. It’s almost always overpriced. Even now it’s going for 43 times this year’s earnings. Yet it’s still done so well.

    What are we missing? When you’re overly focused on a stock’s value you may overlook its most important asset, that being its ability to grow. All investing is at some level growth investing. A good investment may double its P/E Ratio. It’s rare but it happens. But a company often can grow the E in the P/E Ratio (the earnings) by many, many fold.

    Here’s a thought exercise. Imagine if you know beforehand that a stock will grow its earnings by tenfold in, say, ten years. Are you going to haggle much over 10 cents on the buy price? I wouldn’t.

    Warren Buffett often cites Ben Graham as his mentor. Buffett worked for Graham, and his eldest son is named Howard Graham Buffett. But there’s another inspiration to Buffett’s thinking and that’s Philip Fisher (the father of Ken Fisher). Fisher as much as anyone can be called the father of growth investing. His best-known book is Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits. Fisher stressed the importance of a long-term perspective and buying for growth.

    John Train said that Warren Buffett is 85% influenced by Benjamin Graham and 15% by Philip Fisher. That sounds about right. Of course, too much of a focus on growth investing can be a pitfall as well. It can lead you to vastly overpay for a stock. With investing, there’s a magic formula outside of discipline and patience.

    I was recently looking at the stock of Celanese (CE). This is one of those big companies that doesn’t get much attention in the trading universe. The company has a market cap of $20 billion and about 8,000 employees. Still, you rarely hear it mentioned in investing circles.

    What do they do? Celanese is the world’s leading producer of acetic acid. Sexy, I know. Still, the stock has outperformed Netflix over the past one, two and three years. Who would have guessed that?

    The truth is, there are lots of companies like Celanese but too many investors shy away from investing in all but a few well-known stocks. There are thousands of stocks out there and they’re not all overpriced.

    A good clue that a company has a strong market position is what I call the nice, smooth earnings line. This is when companies consistently increase their earnings-per-share.

    Here’s an example. This is the earnings-per-share history of AmerisourceBergen (ABC).

    2005: $0.83
    2006: $1.08
    2007: $1.31
    2008: $1.46
    2009: $1.69
    2010: $2.17
    2011: $2.54
    2012: $2.76
    2013: $3.14
    2014: $3.97
    2015: $4.96
    2016: $5.62
    2017: $5.88
    2018: $6.49
    2019: $7.09
    2020: $7.90
    2021: $8.53 (est)
    2022: $9.10 (est)
    2023: $9.93 (est)

    Notice how it’s a nice, steady climb.

    My Watch List

    I’m often asked how I go about finding the stocks for my Buy List. What I do is track a Watch List of about 100 stocks. These are stocks that I generally define as good stocks. They usually have thriving businesses and consistent operating histories.

    I think of the stocks on the Watch List as the minor leagues and the Buy List is like getting called up to the majors. I’m constantly adding and deleting names to the Watch List. I’m not terribly disciplined, and the list often grows larger than 120 stocks. That’s too many. I’ve recently pared the list back to 100 stocks.

    Here’s a sample of 20 stocks that are currently on my Watch List.

    You can see the entire list by joining our premium service.

    Stock Focus: Tyler Technologies

    I’ll highlight one of the Watch List stocks above. Tyler Technologies (TYL) of Plano, Texas is the largest U.S. software company that’s solely focused on the public sector. That’s a nice market to focus on since the government has deep pockets and it never goes bankrupt.

    Tyler’s software comes in handy for a local government trying to manage its mission. This includes dozens of different applications. Local governments have to do a lot from managing payroll and accounting to billing and HR management. Tyler helps smooth the process. More importantly, it controls costs.

    Tyler divides its software business into six categories: appraisal and tax software and services, integrated software for courts and justice agencies, enterprise financial software systems, planning/regulatory/maintenance software, public safety software, records/document management software solutions and transportation software solutions for schools.

    Tyler has implemented 21,000 installations in more than 10,000 local government agencies. Tyler doesn’t just work in the U.S. The company has aided governments in Canada, Australia and many other countries.

    Consider some numbers. The software market for state and local governments is currently at $15 billion per year. In the U.S., the government exists at several levels which means there are thousands of government agencies at the state and local level, plus school districts. Moreover, many of the current systems used by governments are outdated and in desperate need of an upgrade. You’d be shocked to learn how many government offices still use filing cabinets.

    It looks like this year Tyler will pass the $1.3 billion revenue mark, plus reach 5,600 employees.

    Last year, Tyler’s subscription revenue grew 12.6%. Free cash flow was up over 50%. Approximately 30% to 50% percent of Tyler’s new software clients choose their software-as-a-service (SaaS) model, as new business continues to gradually transition toward subscriptions.

    Tyler is very popular with its client base. The company maintains a 98% retention rate. That’s very good when two-thirds of your revenue is recurring subscriptions. The company has a solid balance sheet. Since 2002, Tyler has bought back nearly 28 million shares.

    Tyler has impressive plans for growth. The problem with local governments is that they often operate on several disparate systems. In simple terms, they don’t talk to each other. They have no incentive to. Tyler wants to bring them all together. That way, the government can be more efficient and more responsive to their constituents.

    Here’s Tyler’s remarkable growth in EPS. Another nice, smooth line:

    2012: $1.00
    2013: $1.51
    2014: $2.09
    2015: $2.54
    2016: $3.49
    2017: $3.92
    2018: $4.80
    2019: $5.30
    2020: $5.52
    2021: $6.15 est
    2021: $7.09 est

    Like Nike, I’ve been waiting for Tyler to get clobbered, and we recently got our chance. The stock had an earnings miss for Q4. The shares also got dinged after Tyler went to the bond market to fund some recent acquisitions.

    A few weeks ago, Tyler reported Q1 earnings of $1.43 per share which beat the street by 11 cents per share. That was up 14% over last year’s Q1. Not good enough. In March, Tyler was as high as $480 per share. Lately, it’s around $400.

    This year’s estimate for $6.15 per share is ambitious but very doable. Best of all, the American Rescue Plan Act has $350 billion earmarked for state and local governments.

    This is a strong growth company with a solid moat. I’d like to see TYL come down a lot more. Still, the ghost of Nike shares lost haunts me.

    That’s all for now. I’ll have more for you in the next issue of CWS Market Review.

    – Eddy

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  • My Watch List
    Posted by on May 18th, 2021 at 3:30 pm

    Here’s my latest Watch List. This is my unofficial list of high-quality stocks I like to follow. If a stock is on this list, then there’s a very good chance that it’s in the upper 5% of well-run companies on Wall Street. This is the elite.

    I’m often asked how I go about selecting the stocks for my Buy List. It’s actually very simple. I have this Watch List of stocks and if one of them falls down to a very attractive price, then it becomes a contender for the new Buy List. I like to think of the Watch List as the minor leagues for the Buy List. Strong prospects earn their way up the ladder.

    The Watch List is very informal. Unlike the Buy List, I’m constantly adding and deleting names. In fact, I have a bad habit of letting the Watch List grow too large. I often find myself adding three names for every one I delete. Ideally, I like to keep the Watch List below 100 names.

    AbbVie (ABBV)
    AmerisourceBergen (ABC)
    Adobe (ADBE)
    Automatic Data Processing (ADP)
    AMETEK (AME)
    American Tower (AMT)
    Anthem (ANTM)
    Amphenol (APH)
    Atrion (ATRI)
    AutoZone (AZO)
    Boeing (BA)
    Balchem (BCPC)
    Brown-Forman (BF-B)
    Biogen Inc. (BIIB)
    Booking Holdings (BKNG)
    Celanese (CE)
    Colgate-Palmolive (CL)
    Clorox (CLX)
    The Cooper Companies, Inc. (COO)
    Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)
    Copart, Inc. (CPRT)
    salesforce.com, inc. (CRM)
    Cintas Corporation (CTAS)
    CVS Health Corporation (CVS)
    Ecolab Inc. (ECL)
    The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL)
    Edwards Lifesciences Corporation (EW)
    Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)
    Exponent, Inc. (EXPO)
    Fastenal Company (FAST)
    F5 Networks, Inc. (FFIV)
    Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO)
    General Dynamics Corporation (GD)
    General Mills, Inc. (GIS)
    Gentex Corporation (GNTX)
    Alphabet Inc. (GOOG)
    Global Payments Inc. (GPN)
    Hingham Institution for Savings (HIFS)
    Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII)
    Henry Schein, Inc. (HSIC)
    IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. (IDXX)
    IDEX Corporation (IEX)
    International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. (IFF)
    Intuit Inc. (INTU)
    Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG)
    Gartner, Inc. (IT)
    J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT)
    J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF)
    Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY)
    Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
    Kellogg Company (K)
    Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB)
    Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)
    Mastercard Incorporated (MA)
    Masimo Corporation (MASI)
    Medtronic plc (MDT)
    McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC)
    Mesa Laboratories, Inc. (MLAB)
    3M Company (MMM)
    Altria Group, Inc. (MO)
    Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
    Mettler-Toledo International Inc. (MTD)
    Neogen Corporation (NEOG)
    NIKE, Inc. (NKE)
    Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)
    ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW)
    Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO)
    Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)
    Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
    O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY)
    Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC)
    Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)
    Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. (PB)
    PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)
    ResMed Inc. (RMD)
    Rollins, Inc. (ROL)
    Roper Technologies, Inc. (ROP)
    Raytheon Technologies Corporation (RTX)
    Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)
    SEI Investments Company (SEIC)
    Simulations Plus, Inc. (SLP)
    S&P Global Inc. (SPGI)
    Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ)
    TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG)
    The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX)
    Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)
    The Toro Company (TTC)
    The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD)
    Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH)
    Tyler Technologies, Inc. (TYL)
    Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS)
    UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH)
    United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM)
    Visa Inc. (V)
    Veeva Systems Inc. (VEEV)
    Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK)
    VeriSign, Inc. (VRSN)
    Waters Corporation (WAT)
    WD-40 Company (WDFC)
    Winmark Corporation (WINA)
    Waste Management, Inc. (WM)
    Watsco, Inc.(WSO)
    Wolverine World Wide, Inc. (WWW)
    Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. (ZBH)