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  • CWS Market Review – November 21, 2023
    Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on November 21st, 2023 at 6:13 pm

    (This is the free version of CWS Market Review. If you like what you see, then please sign up for the premium newsletter for $20 per month or $200 for the whole year. If you sign up today, you can see our two reports, “Your Handy Guide to Stock Orders” and “How Not to Get Screwed on Your Mortgage.”)

    Milei Wins

    Earlier this year, I wrote about the stunning presidential primary victory of libertarian economist Javier Milei. This was a major shock, not only to the political establishment, but also to world currency markets. The Argentine Fed responded by raising interest rates 21% to 118%.

    Now Milei has been elected president and he has an opportunity to implement his agenda.

    The point I want to make wasn’t about the particulars of Argentinian politics but about the interplay of financial markets and government policy. This is an important aspect that’s often overlooked by investors and policy makers.

    Investors tend to see the economy as a chessboard and the politicians as those who move the pieces around. In many ways, the truth is the precise opposite. The economy calls the tune, and the politicians adjust their policies.

    James Carville famously said, “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or as a .400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody.” Boy, is that right.

    Indeed, there many times when investors can serve as the veto of last resort. In the end, currency markets get a vote.

    Here’s part of what I wrote:

    I should explain that Milei isn’t exactly your typical presidential candidate. Milei isn’t merely a small-government conservative; he’s a full-throated anarcho-capitalist. Two of his dogs are named Milton and Murray, in honor of Friedman and Rothbard.

    I don’t want to give you the impression that Milei is somehow odd or unusual. For example, he wants to legalize the selling of organs and children. He also refuses to comb his hair. Additionally, he’s a tantric sex instructor. After that, things frankly start to get a little odd.

    Now he’s president. Yes, Milei is zany but that’s part of his charm. The real story is that the economy is Argentina is a disaster. Inflation is running at 138%, and the country is on the brink of its sixth recession in the last decade.

    People are frustrated and they want something done, even if it’s dramatic. In the U.S., we were alarmed about 9% inflation. Here’s a look at the inflation rate in Argentina.

    This means prices double in less than a year.

    One of Milei’s bolder plans is “dollarization.” He wants to ditch the Argentine peso and use the U.S. dollar. Other countries like Panama and Ecuador have tried this, but no one as big as Argentina has given it a shot.

    The Argentine peso is governed by strict capital controls. There’s the official rate which is around 350 pesos to the dollar; then there’s the real rate. It never seems to occur to policymakers that their currency can be, and is, traded outside their country. The unofficial price for the peso is about one-third the official price.

    For a land of such beauty and promise, Argentina seems to go from one self-induced crisis to the next. Forty percent of the people live in poverty. Yet it’s that frustration that’s driving Milei’s popularity. Milei said he wants to cut taxes and implement large spending cuts.

    Did I mention that he cloned his dog? Yep, he did that too.

    I’m not sure that the people of Argentina have embraced Milei’s strong views. Perhaps they have, but the truth is that things are so bad that voters are willing to give politicians outside the mainstream a hearing. Of course, we’ve had similar outcomes in our elections.

    The problem with replacing the peso with the dollar is that Argentina simply doesn’t have enough dollars. They need outside investors and lots of them. Argentina could go to the IMF, but they’re already the IMF’s largest borrower.

    Bond markets have been notoriously troublesome for some politicians. In 1981, Francois Mitterrand won a stunning Socialist victory. A lot of French money quickly found a new home in New York. Eventually, Mitterrand reversed course on his more radical policies.

    Liz Truss faced a similar crisis last year, leading her to resign after just seven weeks as U.K. Prime Minister.

    A Milei presidency could have a major impact on global commodity markets. Argentina is famous for its beef, but it’s also the world’s fastest-growing lithium producer. Milei has promised to take the axe to farm taxes. That could make Argentina’s agricultural sector more competitive. The country also has major deposits of copper and shale oil.

    For now, the markets love Milei. In yesterday’s trading, shares of Argentina-based stocks soared on U.S. markets. There are 15 Argentine stocks that trade in the U.S. Most of the companies are financial or energy stocks, with a few utilities. Shares of Telecom Argentina (TEO) were up 22% yesterday, and they gained another 10% today. YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF), a large energy company, jumped 40% yesterday. Check out the recent performance of the Argentina ETF (ARGT):

    I’m skeptical Milei will get much of his program passed. Bureaucracies are hard to change. Still, it’s another indication that voters aren’t happy with high inflation and corruption. In the end, Milei will be able to go as far as the bond and currency markets let him.

    The Fed Says It’s Not Looking to Cut Rates

    This afternoon, the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its most-recent FOMC meeting (October 31 to November 1). Today’s minutes show that the Fed is in no hurry to cut rates. While inflation has been much better behaved, it’s still above the Fed’s target rate of 2%.

    The Fed is not fully convinced that the battle against inflation has been won. That’s probably correct. During the 1970s, inflation came back again and again, worse each time. The Fed wants to avoid that.

    The Fed is saying that policy should remain “restrictive” until it’s clear that inflation is headed back to 2%.

    From today’s minutes:

    In discussing the policy outlook, participants continued to judge that it was critical that the stance of monetary policy be kept sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to the Committee’s 2 percent objective over time.

    All participants agreed that the Committee was in a position to proceed carefully and that policy decisions at every meeting would continue to be based on the totality of incoming information and its implications for the economic outlook as well as the balance of risks.

    Participants noted that further tightening of monetary policy would be appropriate if incoming information indicated that progress toward the Committee’s inflation objective was insufficient.

    Translated from Fedspeak, this is simply the Fed trying to sound tough. That’s quite different from making an actual tough-minded policy decision.

    The markets continue to believe strongly that the Fed is done hiking rates. Odds of a rate hike at the December FOMC meeting are currently at 5%. For March, traders see a 28% chance of a Fed cut.

    That’s interesting because at his last news conference, Jerome Powell said the Fed isn’t even talking about rate cuts. For May, the rate-cut odds rise to 59%, and by Election Day, traders expect to see three rate cuts.

    We’re now witnessing a growing gap between what the Fed is saying, and what the public believes. When in doubt, I have greater confidence in the market’s opinion.

    That’s all for now. I’ll have more for you in the next issue of CWS Market Review.

    – Eddy

    P.S. If you want more info on our ETF, you can check out the ETF’s website.

  • Morning News: November 21, 2023
    Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on November 21st, 2023 at 7:05 am

    For Argentina, Dollarization May Work Better on YouTube Than in Reality

    South African Inflation Breakevens Tumble as Rates Seen on Hold

    Russian Agricultural Bank Files Lawsuit Against JP Morgan

    Bond Managers of $2.5 Trillion Make Case for Leaving Cash Behind

    Is the US Headed for a Recession? Look at What Richer Americans Do on Black Friday

    New ETF Tracks Developers of Obesity Drugs Amid Ozempic Hype

    The Great Disconnect: Why Voters Feel One Way About the Economy but Act Differently

    Higher Interest Rates Are Shattering Housing Dreams Around the World

    October Home Sales Likely Fell to New 13-Year Low

    Houses Too Expensive to Buy Underpin Lofty Rents

    China Property Stocks Surge After Beijing Picks 50 Firms to Fund

    US Is Seeking More than $4 Billion From Binance to End Case

    A New Front Is Opening Up in the US-China Conflict Over Chips

    How Microsoft’s Satya Nadella Kept the ‘Best Bromance in Tech’ Alive

    OpenAI in ‘Intense Discussions’ to Quell Potential Staff Mutiny

    The Long Shadow of Steve Jobs Looms Over the Turmoil at OpenAI

    India Closer to Agreement With Tesla to Import EVs, Set Up Plant

    GM’s Driverless Taxis Need to Slow Down

    Wyndham Rebuffs Latest Takeover Attempt From Choice Hotels

    How a Billionaire Banker Is Helping Elite US Colleges Recruit New Talent

    A Descendant of Freed Slaves, Financier Pursues Family’s $900 Million Oil Claim

    Soon You May Know Exactly Where Your Diamond Was Mined

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • Morning News: November 20, 2023
    Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on November 20th, 2023 at 7:03 am

    Milei Opens a New Era: What Comes Next in Argentina Policymaking

    China Drafts List of 50 Property Firms Eligible for Funding

    Trudeau’s Spending Plans Are Squeezed by Soaring Debt Payments

    UK Convenes Wall Street Titans at Royal Palaces to Woo Investment

    Fed Increasingly Turning to Anecdotes to Make Sense of Economy

    The White House May Condemn Musk, but the Government Is Addicted to Him

    Bayer’s Investment Case Seen Shaken by Double Whammy

    US Securities Regulator Signals It May Curb Climate Rule Ambitions

    This Coal Giant Now Wants to Get Out of Coal

    NRG Energy CEO Exits Amid Board Shakeup

    Pritzker Chases Every Federal Dollar With New $1 Billion EPA Bid

    How to Boost EV Sales? Pay Drivers to Turn in Old Polluting Cars

    ‘Lost Time for No Reason:’ How Driverless Taxis Are Stressing Cities

    Kyle Vogt Resigns as CEO of GM’s Driverless-Car Unit Cruise

    Talks to Bring Sam Altman Back to OpenAI Stretch Through Weekend

    Microsoft Ends Weekend of OpenAI Drama With Coup of Its Own

    A 30-Year Trap: The Problem With America’s Weird Mortgages

    More Americans on Ozempic Means Smaller Plates at Thanksgiving

    Black Friday, Cyber Monday Spending Projected to Hit New High

    Shakira Reaches Deal with Spanish Prosecutors on First Day of Tax Fraud Trial

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • Morning News: November 17, 2023
    Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on November 17th, 2023 at 7:04 am

    Oil Collapses Into Bear Market as Robust Supply Pressures OPEC+

    China Wants to Bulldoze Old Neighborhoods to Revive the Economy

    ECB’s Lagarde Says Europe Needs Single Market Watchdog in Push for Capital Union

    France Makes Case for Paris to Host New EU Dirty Money Watchdog

    US Consumer Watchdog Hands Wall Street Rare Win With Big Tech Crackdown

    Biden Signs Bill Averting Shutdown, Teeing Up 2024 Budget Battle

    Powell’s Fed Sticks Together in Fight Against Inflation Despite Differences

    Treasury Yields Dive as Oil Craters, Economy Softens

    Where Have All the Foreign Buyers Gone for U.S. Treasury Debt?

    Active ETF Boom Is Mostly a Mirage as Stockpicking Fades Away

    Wall Street Bosses Turn to AI to Help Write Performance Reviews

    Swedish Dockworkers Are Refusing To Unload Teslas At Ports In Broad Boycott Move

    Union Workers Back Contract Deals at 3 Big Automakers

    Are Americans Falling Out of Love With EVs?

    The Share of Americans Who Are Mortgage-Free Is at an All-Time High

    Congrats, Your House Made You Rich. Now Sell It.

    Companies Hesitate on Specialized Industry Clouds

    When Huawei Shocked America With a Smartphone

    Apple Plans to Make It Easier to Text Between iPhones and Androids

    Gap Is Righting the Ship With Old Navy

    This Thanksgiving, Full Planes to Go With Full Plates

    These People Are Responsible for Thanksgiving’s Most Polarizing Food

    The Estée Lauder Family Built a Beauty Empire. A Succession Rift Threatens It

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • Morning News: November 16, 2023
    Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on November 16th, 2023 at 7:06 am

    Pandas, Ping-Pong and Profits: Chinese Leader Woos U.S. CEOs

    Musk-Xi Meeting Shows Tight Relationship China Has With Tesla

    Alibaba Nixes Cloud Spinoff After US Blocks AI Chips From China

    Covid’s Biggest Economic Winner Is Running Out of Steam

    While All Inflation Feels Bad, Housing Inflation Is the Worst

    The Global Fight Against Inflation Has Turned a Corner

    EU Banks May Face Major Hit If They Need to Sell Bonds -Lagarde

    Systematic Hedge Funds Pummeled in Post-U.S. CPI Stocks Rally – Goldman Sachs

    Lina Khan Has a Warning for the World of Private Equity

    A Secretive Hedge Fund Tycoon Is the World’s Greatest Shipwreck Hunter

    How R.F.K. Jr. Has Turned His Public Crusades Into a Private Windfall

    The Pentagon’s Deadly Secret: It Makes Money From Bullets Used in Mass Shootings

    ‘Everything’s Locked Up’: Shoppers Turn to Amazon as Big-Box Retailers Combat Theft

    Walmart Shares Retreat on Wary Earnings Outlook For Year

    G.M.’s Contract Deal With U.A.W. Faces Surprisingly Stiff Opposition

    Starbucks Unionized Baristas’ Strike Coincides With Red Cup Giveaway

    Chicken Finger Craze Fuels $7.6 Billion Fortune for Raising Cane’s Founder

    McDonald’s Growing Appetite for Fashion

    Guinness Maker’s Morning After Offers Little Reassurance

    Breaking Down Your Thanksgiving Costs

    GrainCorp Holds Dividend Despite 34% Fall in Annual Profit

    Stop Corporatizing My Students

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • Morning News: November 15, 2023
    Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on November 15th, 2023 at 7:03 am

    A Global Hunt for Water Profit Risks Draining Cities Dry

    Ethiopia to Suspend Debt Service, Plans to Restructure Eurobond

    Japan’s Economy Shrinks for First Time in Three Quarters

    Biden, Xi Eye Economic and Military Thaw in High-Stakes Meeting

    U.K. Inflation Slows to 4.6 Percent, Lowest in Two Years

    An Optimistic Inflation Report Reduces Pressure on the Fed to Raise Rates

    The Elusive Soft Landing Is Coming Into View

    The Inflation Rally Goes Global

    House Approves Spending Plan, Easing Risk of Government Shutdown

    Carson Block, Nate Anderson Become SEC Tipsters for Cash Payouts

    Ken Griffin Sees Miami Possibly Replacing NYC as Finance Capital

    Wall Street Is Tapping Women, Minority-Owned Banks For Billion-Dollar Bond Deals

    Schonfeld Ends Millennium Partnership Talks, Secures Billions Elsewhere

    What to Watch in the Retail Report: Is Spending Cooling as Holidays Arrive?

    At REI, a Progressive Company Warns That Unionization Is Bad for Vibes

    So Thieves Nabbed Your Catalytic Converter. Here’s Where It Ended Up

    Goodyear to Explore Strategic Alternatives for Chemical Business, Dunlop Brand

    Target Sales Slump as Shoppers Pull Back

    How David Zaslav Blew Up Hollywood

    Aristocrat Leisure Raises Dividend After FY Profit Jumps 53%

    Young and Rich: China’s Scions Set to Inherit $120 Billion in Wealth Transfer

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • CWS Market Review – November 14, 2023
    Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on November 14th, 2023 at 6:38 pm

    (This is the free version of CWS Market Review. If you like what you see, then please sign up for the premium newsletter for $20 per month or $200 for the whole year. If you sign up today, you can see our two reports, “Your Handy Guide to Stock Orders” and “How Not to Get Screwed on Your Mortgage.”)

    Stocks Soar on Soft Inflation Report

    Finally, some good inflation news!

    This morning, the government said that inflation was unchanged last month. That was 0.1% below expectations. Not surprisingly, the report was helped by falling energy prices. Over the last year, inflation is running at 3.2%.

    This is a very good report. Bear in mind that inflation was running very hot in September (+0.4%), so this report is a nice change of pace.

    The inflation story isn’t just about energy prices. The core rate, which excludes food and energy, rose by only 0.2% last month. That was also 0.1% below expectations. Over the last year, core inflation is up by 4%. That’s the slowest 12-month rate in over two years.

    Here’s a look at the monthly seasonally-adjusted core rate. My apologies for the econ jargon, but this way, you can really see how the threat of inflation has faded over the last year:

    Here are some details:

    The flat reading on headline CPI came as energy prices declined 2.5% for the month, offsetting a 0.3% increase in the food index. It was the slowest monthly pace since July 2022.

    Shelter costs, a key component in the index, rose 0.3% in October, half the gain in September as the year-over-year increase eased to 6.7%. Within the category, owners equivalent rent, which gauges what property owners could command for rent, increased 0.4%. A subcategory that includes hotel and motel pricing dropped 2.9%. 0.4% for September.

    (…)

    Vehicle costs, which had been a key inflation component during the spike in 2021-22, fell on the month. New vehicle prices declined 0.1%, while used vehicle prices were off 0.8% and were down 7.1% from a year ago.

    Airfares, another closely watched component, declined 0.9% and are off 13.2% annually. Motor vehicle insurance, however, saw a 1.9% increase and was up 19.2% from a year ago.

    Wall Street celebrated as it now looks like the Federal Reserve won’t be raising rates anymore this cycle.

    In Wall Street’s mind, there’s nothing better than lower interest rates. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 rallied for the tenth time in the last 12 sessions. For the day, the index gained 1.9%. The S&P 500 is already up 7.2% in November and the month isn’t quite halfway over.

    Futures traders think there’s only a 0.2% chance the Fed will hike next month. One month ago, the odds for a December rate hike were at 30%. Traders think there’s a 0.2% chance it will hike in January. By May, the market says there’s a 65% chance that the Fed will start cutting rates.

    On our Buy List, Trex (TREX) was up more than 7.5% today. The deck-maker recently beat earnings and raised guidance. Celanese (CE) rallied 6.7% on Tuesday, and Polaris (PII) was up close to 6%.

    Tuesday’s market was heavily concentrated on higher-risk areas of the market. On days like today, I like to look at the spread between the S&P 500 Low Volatility Index and the S&P 500 High Beta Index. On Tuesday, High Beta gained 4.45% while Low Vol gained 1.24%.

    What’s going on? I think a lot of investors mistakenly believe that the promise of lower rates will lead us back to the glory days of 2020-2021. That’s when rates were at 0% and the government was spending money to boost the economy. The Fed effectively took risk out of the investing equation and high-risk areas soared.

    As I look at the stock market and inflation numbers, I can’t help wondering how overly complicated the game appears. Perhaps it’s as easy as leaving the market when inflation hits 7% and then coming back in when it drops below 7%. That’s an easy rule that’s pretty much worked perfectly. You can see it in this chart. The black line is the rate of inflation and it follows the left scale. The S&P 500 is the blue line and it follows the right scale.

    The earnings numbers for Q3 are almost all in. It looks like the S&P 500 will report earnings growth of 4.1%. What about for Q4, which is already halfway done? Analysts are expecting Q4 earnings growth of just 3.2%.

    But after that, things are expected to improve. Analysts expect earnings growth to improve to 6.7% for Q1, and 10.5% for Q2. FactSet notes that while these projects are down since September, they’re still above the results for Q3. In other words, not only is Corporate America still profitable, but earnings growth is accelerating.

    The fastest-growing sectors are projected to be Communication Services (19.9%), Consumer Discretionary (16.5%) and Information Technology (15.2%). The stocks that are expected to contribute the most to earnings growth for Q1 are Nvidia, Amazon, Meta Platforms and Alphabet. Without these four, the S&P 500 would have earnings growth of 3.2%. With them, it’s 6.7%.

    Stock Focus: Simulations Plus (SLP)

    I’ve been a fan of Simulations Plus (SLP) for some time now. It’s a neat company that’s not well known. SLP’s market cap is just over $725 million and only three analysts follow it. The stock rallied 5.2% today. Incidentally, today was also SLP’s Investor Day.

    Simulations Plus makes software that lets drug companies simulate tests of their products in the virtual world before using any human or animal test subjects. That’s a major cost-saver for drug companies.

    Simulations Plus helps streamline the R&D process by making it faster and more efficient. Not only is this cost effective, but it also helps drug companies in dealing with time-consuming regulatory hurdles.

    In fact, there are times when the results from SLP’s products have allowed companies to waive clinical studies. The cost savings are substantial. This means drug companies don’t have to deal with the time and expense of recruiting test subjects and analyzing test results.

    By using SLP’s software, drug companies can experiment with many variables like fine-tuning dosage amounts. Companies can also see potential harmful side effects. Another important factor is that companies can identify treatments that have no benefits.

    In healthcare, cost control is a major issue. That’s why SLP’s products are in heavy demand. A great business to buy is one that helps other companies control their costs.

    In many ways, I think what Simulations Plus does for pharmaceutical researchers is closely akin to what Ansys (ANSS) does for engineers. By sitting at a computer, an employee can efficiently iron out a lot of kinks before experimenting in the real world. Simulations Plus is also branching out from their core customer base of drug companies. They work with consumer products companies to see the side effects of things like pesticides.

    Unfortunately, the shares have not performed well over the past few years. That could make it a compelling buy.

    Simulations Plus recently reported its fiscal-Q4 earnings. For the quarter, SLP’s revenues increased 33% to $15.6 million. The company’s gross profit grew 35% to $12.3 million.

    For the quarter, the company earned 18 cents per share. That matched Wall Street’s consensus although I don’t know if three analysts count as a consensus. The stock dropped 15% after the report.

    For all of last year, SLP’s revenue grew 11% to $59.6 million, and earnings increased from 60 cents to 67 cents per share.

    For the new fiscal year, SLP sees revenues ranging between $66 million and $69 million. That works out to a growth rate of 10% to 15%. For earnings, SLP sees profits ranging between 66 cents and 68 cents per share. I’m particularly impressed that SLP can maintain gross margins that are nearly 80%. Simulations Plus pays out a small quarterly dividend of six cents per share.

    As much as I like this business, valuation is still a concern. Going by SLP’s latest guidance, the shares are going for 50 times forward earnings. That a lot for any stock.

    That’s all for now. I’ll have more for you in the next issue of CWS Market Review.

    – Eddy

    P.S. If you want more info on our ETF, you can check out the ETF’s website.

  • Morning News: November 14, 2023
    Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on November 14th, 2023 at 7:04 am

    Argentina’s Election Isn’t Just High Stakes for Argentina — But for China, Too

    China Mulls $137 Billion of New Funds to Aid Housing Market

    The Rise and Fall of the World’s Most Successful Joint Venture

    Why Xi Can No Longer Brag About the Chinese Economy

    Elon Musk and Jane Fraser Among CEOs Wooing Xi Jinping

    US Inflation Report to Keep Fed Leaning Toward More Rate Hikes

    US Bank Regulators to be Grilled by Congress on Capital Hike Plan

    UBS Predicts Tricky Start to 2024 for Emerging Market Assets

    UBS Climate Change’s $150 Billion Hit to the U.S. Economy

    How Wall Street Makes Millions Selling Car Loans Customers Can’t Repay

    Bankers Brace for Smaller Bonuses With No Relief Seen Next Year

    CEOs Aren’t Hearing A Lot of ‘Great Quarter, Guys’ This Earnings Season

    With Interest Rates Above 9%, Small Businesses Slam the Brakes

    Rolex, Patek Prices Hit Fresh Two-Year Lows: Subdial Index

    Facing Financial Ruin as Costs Soar for Elder Care

    How Microsoft’s Legal Legacy Shapes the Antitrust Case Against Google

    What Google Argued to Defend Itself in Landmark Antitrust Trial

    Glencore Wins Teck Coal Business, Paving Way for Its Own Split

    Fisker Shares Fall More Than 10% After EV Startup Cuts Production Target

    Home Depot Sales, Earnings Fall but Top Analyst Estimates

    Insider Co-Founder Henry Blodget Steps Down as CEO Amid Strategy Shift

    Can Tequila Really Go Global? This Booze Boss Is Giving It a Shot

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • Morning News: November 13, 2023
    Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on November 13th, 2023 at 7:03 am

    Italy Faces Barriers to Obtain About €90 Billion in EU Funds

    Greece Starts Process to Sell 20% Stake in National Bank

    Indian Students Flock to US Colleges, Offsetting Drop From China

    What’s at Stake in the Biden-Xi Meeting

    What It Took to Get Biden and Xi to the Table

    Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Diverge on Fed Rate-Cut Forecasts

    Morgan Stanley Sees Bullish Opportunities for US Assets in 2024

    Talent Agency CAA and Michael Klein Launch Sports and Media Investment Bank

    Inside Wall Street’s Scramble After ICBC Hack

    Mint, the Budgeting App, Is Going Away. Here Are Some Alternatives

    Health Insurance Is About to Boost US Inflation

    Vermont May Be the Face of a Long-Term U.S. Labor Shortage

    The Low-Wage Pay Surge Is Over, Threatening the Consumer Boom

    Home Depot and Lowe’s Face Slump From Higher Rates and Housing Prices

    The ‘Georgists’ Are Out There, and They Want to Tax Your Land

    Los Angeles Mansion Owners Test $150,000 Rents as Sales Slump

    China’s Spending on Green Energy Is Causing a Global Glut

    Polluting Industries Say the Cost of Cleaner Air Is Too High

    Electricity Use Booms in Texas, a Harbinger for the Country

    Exxon Makes Lithium Play in Long-Term Bet on EV Demand

    The Diamond World Takes Radical Steps to Stop a Pricing Plunge

    Novo Shares Rise After Wegovy Demonstrates Heart Benefit in Trial

    Target Tries to Find Its Mark After Year of Misfires

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

  • Morning News: November 10, 2023
    Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on November 10th, 2023 at 7:04 am

    China Is Making Too Much Stuff—and Other Countries Are Worried

    India’s Factory Output Slows in September on Weak Demand

    Delhi Could Use Artificial Rain to Subdue World’s Most Toxic Air

    How Power Companies Profited From Italy’s Covid Lockdown

    U.K. Economy Stagnates as High Interest Rates Take Toll

    RBA Revises Up Near-Term Inflation Forecasts, Warns Inflation More Persistent

    Even if the Fed Stays on Hold, Jerome Powell Is Keeping His Options Open

    US Bond Funds Rack Up Biggest Weekly Inflow In Three Months

    IRS Announces New Income Tax Brackets for 2024

    Citigroup Resumes Retail Banking Sale in Poland – Bank Handlowy CEO

    Mark Mobius Plans to Step Back From Mobius Capital Partners

    It’s Boom Times for Startups Trying to Electrify Aviation

    Personalized A.I. Agents Are Here. Is the World Ready for Them?

    Man vs. Musk: A Whistleblower Creates Headaches for Tesla

    Amazon’s New Approach to Selling Enterprise Software? In-Person Demos

    Apple Agrees to $25 Million Settlement with US Over Hiring of Immigrants

    Sleep Number’s ‘Drastic Miss’ Resulted in Drastic Marketing Measures

    Las Vegas Strike Averted as Wynn Resorts Rounds Out Labor Deals

    An Opioid-Like Drink Is Masquerading As a Wholesome Alcohol Alternative

    Be sure to follow me on Twitter.

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  • Eddy ElfenbeinEddy Elfenbein is a Washington, DC-based speaker, portfolio manager and editor of the blog Crossing Wall Street. His Buy List has beaten the S&P 500 by 72% over the last 19 years. (more)

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    EddyElfenbein
    eddyelfenbein Eddy Elfenbein @eddyelfenbein ·
    18 Feb

    Does anyone have a suit of armor, jet skis and a blowtorch I can borrow/rent? There's an experiment I'm working on.

    Reply on Twitter 1891697493907321176 Retweet on Twitter 1891697493907321176 1 Like on Twitter 1891697493907321176 12 X 1891697493907321176
    eddyelfenbein Eddy Elfenbein @eddyelfenbein ·
    18 Feb

    This is pretty amazing. US elections combined since 1924:
    GOP: 1,058,301,749
    DEM: 1,057,846,951
    Oth: 88,548,252

    Reply on Twitter 1891691321405948037 Retweet on Twitter 1891691321405948037 11 Like on Twitter 1891691321405948037 70 X 1891691321405948037
    eddyelfenbein Eddy Elfenbein @eddyelfenbein ·
    17 Feb

    Unemployment spikes in Washington, DC

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    eddyelfenbein Eddy Elfenbein @eddyelfenbein ·
    17 Feb

    Tracking ATH

    Eddy Elfenbein @EddyElfenbein

    Let's do this:

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