Author Archive

  • Fama Factors Out French: “I Did All The Work”
    , April 15th, 2007 at 3:25 pm

    At long last, we now know the truth:

    After 15 years of sharing the credit for groundbreaking research with Ken French, Eugene Fama is on a mission to expose his former colleague, and himself. The result is an alarming behind-the-scenes look at how academic careers are made and broken.
    “I hired Ken French in 1990 when he was a driving instructor in Winnetka. Chicago was pressuring me to partner with another researcher; I couldn’t stand the idea so I hired a stooge. The man has never contributed a single idea to my research, and yet his name is constantly mentioned in the same breath as mine. On top of it all, the American Finance Association has nominated him as president-elect! That’s a travesty and I won’t have it.”

  • 2007 Wharton Economic Summit
    , April 13th, 2007 at 7:58 am

    Not much blogging today. I’ll be in Philadelphia at the 2007 Wharton Economic Summit.
    It’s sort of like Davos, except the odds of being car-jacked are a lot higher. Wish me luck.

  • Brady Quinn on Power Lunch
    , April 12th, 2007 at 12:12 pm

    p1.brady.quinn.pw
    Sue Herera adores him.

  • JOSB Down 8%
    , April 12th, 2007 at 11:10 am

    JoS. A. Bank Clothiers (JOSB) is down sharply today on a poor same-store sales report:

    Men’s clothing retailer JoS. A. Bank Clothiers Inc. said Thursday that its same-store sales grew 1.4 percent in March, but missed analysts’ expectations.
    Analysts polled by Thomson Financial were looking for a same-store sales increase of 2.7 percent for the month.
    Same-store sales, or sales at stores open at least a year, are a key measure of retailer (or restaurant) performance, because they measure growth at existing stores rather than from newly opened ones.
    Total sales for the period ended April 7 climbed 10.1 percent to $45.7 million from $41.5 million in the year-ago period.
    Quarter-to-date, same-store sales were up 2 percent while total sales were ahead 11.8 percent to $84.1 million versus $75.2 million in the prior-year period.

  • Bed Bath & Beyond Earned 79 Cents a Share
    , April 12th, 2007 at 8:28 am

    The company just wrapped up its 15th straight record year. For the fourth quarter, Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) earned 79 cents a share, although that doesn’t include a charge of seven cents a share.
    For the year, BBBY earned $2.15 a share, which is a nice improvement over the $1.92 a share it made last year. Annual sales rose from $5.8 billion to $6.6 billion.
    Here are the quarterly results going back a few years:

    Quarter Sales Gross Profit Operating Profit Net Profit EPS
    May-99 $356,633 $146,214 $28,015 $17,883 $0.06
    Aug-99 $451,715 $185,570 $53,580 $33,247 $0.12
    Nov-99 $480,145 $196,784 $50,607 $31,707 $0.11
    Feb-00 $569,012 $238,233 $77,138 $48,392 $0.17
    May-00 $459,163 $187,293 $36,339 $23,364 $0.08
    Aug-00 $589,381 $241,284 $70,009 $43,578 $0.15
    Nov-00 $602,004 $246,080 $64,592 $40,665 $0.14
    Feb-01 $746,107 $311,802 $101,898 $64,315 $0.22
    May-01 $575,833 $234,959 $45,602 $30,007 $0.10
    Aug-01 $713,636 $291,342 $84,672 $53,954 $0.18
    Nov-01 $759,438 $311,030 $83,749 $52,964 $0.18
    Feb-02 $879,055 $370,235 $132,077 $82,674 $0.28
    May-02 $776,798 $318,362 $72,701 $46,299 $0.15
    Aug-02 $903,044 $370,335 $119,687 $75,459 $0.25
    Nov-02 $936,030 $386,224 $119,228 $75,112 $0.25
    Feb-03 $1,049,292 $443,626 $168,441 $105,309 $0.35
    May-03 $893,868 $367,180 $90,450 $57,508 $0.19
    Aug-03 $1,111,445 $459,145 $155,867 $97,208 $0.32
    Nov-03 $1,174,740 $486,987 $161,459 $100,506 $0.33
    Feb-04 $1,297,928 $563,352 $231,567 $144,248 $0.47
    May-04 $1,100,917 $456,774 $128,707 $82,049 $0.27
    Aug-04 $1,273,960 $530,829 $189,108 $120,008 $0.39
    Nov-04 $1,305,155 $548,152 $190,978 $121,927 $0.40
    Feb-05 $1,467,646 $650,546 $283,621 $180,980 $0.59
    May-05 $1,244,421 $520,781 $150,884 $98,903 $0.33
    Aug-05 $1,431,182 $601,784 $217,877 $141,402 $0.47
    Nov-05 $1,448,680 $615,363 $205,493 $134,620 $0.45
    Feb-06 $1,685,279 $747,820 $304,917 $197,922 $0.67
    May-06 $1,395,963 $590,098 $148,750 $100,431 $0.35
    Aug-06 $1,607,239 $678,249 $219,622 $145,535 $0.51
    Nov-06 $1,619,240 $704,073 $211,134 $142,436 $0.50
    Feb-07 $1,994,987 $862,982 $309,895 $205,842 $0.72

    Two things to note. This last quarter was based on 14 weeks while the other quarters were just 13 weeks. Also, the 2006 fiscal year had 53 weeks compared with 52 for last year.
    Some analysts have noted the company’s lower gross margins. This is what BBBY had to say on their conference call:

    The gross profit margin for the full fiscal year improved slightly from fiscal 2005. The approximate 110 basis point decline in the fiscal fourth quarter was primarily due to higher inventory acquisition costs. Inventory acquisition costs were higher, primarily due to a shift in purchase volume incentives earned during our fiscal third quarter, which as we discussed in December, benefited that quarter.

    This is the first decline in gross margins in five years.

  • My Thoughts on Citi
    , April 11th, 2007 at 1:15 pm

    I have to add my thoughts about Citigroup (C). The company just announced plans to cut 17,000 jobs which is about 5% of the workforce. The Street, however, is unimpressed and the stock is down today.
    Much of the blame is being aimed at CEO Chuck Prince, but I’m going to make a slight defense of Prince. Or rather, the problems at Citi aren’t his entirely his fault. The most important problem is that the company, as it’s currently comprised, doesn’t make any sense.
    Shareholders are in denial and they’re blaming Prince for the effects of Citi’s problems, not the root. Here’s the deal: Sandy Weill built today’s Citigroup through very aggressive acquisitions. The idea was to throw a bunch of mediocre businesses together and that would (hopefully) make one really good company. Well, it doesn’t.
    Today, the company has nearly $2 trillion in assets and what do they have to show for it? A P/E ratio of 12. It’s the Austria-Hungry of stocks.
    I’ll give you a good example. Look at the major brokerage stocks. Merrill, Goldman, Morgan, Lehman, have all seen their stocks soar. But Citi’s stock has done nothing. Does anyone think that an independent Salomon Smith Barney wouldn’t have rallied? Maybe it wouldn’t have, but it would have taken some effort. Now, we’ll never know.
    Prince may be out the door soon. Next up will probably be Sallie Krawcheck (oh, how the media will love that!). But I think the CEO turnstile will continue to spin until someone finally decides to un group Citi.

  • Minyanville Gets Animated
    , April 11th, 2007 at 11:03 am

  • Citigroup Settles With Thomson
    , April 11th, 2007 at 10:54 am

    The Financial Times reports:

    Citigroup has agreed severance terms with Todd Thomson, who was sacked as head of its wealth management arm in January, as the group prepares to announce a shake-up plan involving the loss of more than 15,000 jobs.
    The agreement follows weeks of tough negotiations over the size of Mr Thomson’s settlement and restrictions on poaching staff.
    Mr Thomson said he was sacked without cause and the company has never publicly suggested otherwise. However, people familar with the situation said he was sacked partly for conspicuous spending including corporate sponsorship of events involving Maria Bartiromo, the CNBC correspondent.
    One person familiar with Citigroup’s negotiation said Mr Thomson “was paid for the time he worked for the company.”
    Mr Thomson, who previously served as Citigroup’s chief financial officer and was once seen as a potential successor to Mr Prince, said on Tuesday night: “I am very pleased with the settlement, happy to close this chapter, and excited to move on to some new opportunities.” Mr Thomson has set up an investment vehicle and has also received a number of approaches from other companies. Most of these have been from private equity firms, either to run portfolio companies or to join as a partner.

    I was really hoping for the headline, “Thomson Looking for New Partner,” but no such luck.

  • The Latest Housing Boom
    , April 11th, 2007 at 10:22 am

    Would you believe it’s in Northern Ireland?

    The average cost of a home rose 37 percent last year to 195,751 pounds ($383,183), according to the University of Ulster. That’s at least 5 percent more than the U.K. national average and nine times the gross local average salary. Only London and southern England are more expensive.
    House prices in Northern Ireland have quadrupled since 1994 after tracking consumer prices during the previous decade, said Alistair Adair, a professor at the University of Ulster.

  • Sin Stocks Do Better
    , April 11th, 2007 at 10:12 am

    Personally, I don’t see anything morally wrong with drinking, gambling or smoking, but much of society seems to frown on this. Since the beginning of the year, it’s been illegal to smoke in bars and restaurants in Washington. Now there’s some academic evidence that shows that “sin stocks” are pretty savvy investments.

    ”While sinful stocks aren’t necessarily good for the soul, they do deliver higher returns,” said Marcin Kacperczyk, a professor at the Sauder School of Business at UBC. “There is a societal norm against funding operations that promote human vice and that some investors, particularly institutions subject to public scrutiny and social norms, pay a financial price for not holding these stocks,” the study said on Tuesday.
    Sin stocks out perform their comparables by about 30 basis points a month, the study found. And they come cheap — the market-to-book ratios of sin stocks were on average about 15% lower than those of other companies between 1965 and 2004.

    Here’s the paper.