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CWS Market Review – February 6, 2024
Eddy Elfenbein, February 6th, 2024 at 8:13 pm(This is the free version of CWS Market Review. If you like what you see, then please sign up for the premium newsletter for $20 per month or $200 for the whole year. If you sign up today, you can see our two reports, “Your Handy Guide to Stock Orders” and “How Not to Get Screwed on Your Mortgage.”)
You Can Forget About That March Rate Cut
Well, maybe the Fed won’t be raising interest rates next month!
Over the last few days, we’ve gotten some important news that’s completely shifted our expectations for what the Fed’s plans are. It looks like the Federal Reserve probably will not be cutting interest rates at its March meeting. This new outlook is having a major impact on Wall Street. In two days, the yield on the three-year Treasury rose from 3.96% to 4.27%.
This change in outlook has impacted the stock market as well. On Friday, the S&P 500 closed at a new all-time high, but it was a very narrow market. By that, I mean that most of the heavy lifting was being done by a few stocks. Facebook, for example, gained more than 20%. Even though the S&P 500 rallied more than 1% on Friday, the average stock in the index was down for the day.
J.C. Parets noted that on Monday, we saw the fewest stocks on the NYSE above their 200-day moving average since early December, and the fewest above their 50-day moving average since mid-November.
The stock market finished just shy of a new all-time close today.
This is a confusing and temperamental market. Let’s breakdown what’s going on. We’ll start with last week’s jobs report.
Wall Street got a big shock on Friday when the January jobs report came in much better than expectations. Wall Street had been expecting a gain of 185,000 net new jobs. That wasn’t even close. Instead, the Labor Department said that the U.S. economy added 353,000 new jobs last month.
Who would have guessed that an aggressive interest rate policy from the Fed seems to have had little impact on the labor market? Not me.
Wall Street had been expecting the unemployment rate to rise to 3.8%. Instead, it stayed at 3.7%. If you work out all the decimals, then the current unemployment rate is lower than it was during every single month in the 1970s, 80s, 90s and 00s. All the way through 2018. (To be fair, the methodology hasn’t remained consistent over that time.)
We’re also seeing a pickup in wages. In January, average hourly earnings grew by 0.6%. That doubled Wall Street’s forecast. Over the last year, wages are up by 4.5%. The problem is that any previous wage growth had largely been eaten up by inflation. That’s not so much the case anymore.
Not only was January a good month for job growth, but the Labor Department also revised higher its numbers for November and December. The original estimate for December was for a jobs gain of 117,000. Now the Labor Department says it was 333,000. The number for November was revised upward by 9,000.
Here are some more details from the jobs report:
Job growth was widespread on the month, led by professional and business services with 74,000. Other significant contributors included health care (70,000), retail trade (45,000), government (36,000), social assistance (30,000) and manufacturing (23,000).
The broader U-6 rate increased to 7.2%. Also, the labor force participation rate stayed the same at 62.5%. If we look at the labor force participation rate for prime-working age folks (25 to 54), that rose to 83.3% which isn’t far from a 20-year high.
One interesting bit in the jobs report is that hours worked declined even though wage is holding up well. That may suggest that employers are opting to reduce hours instead of cutting jobs. It’s hard to say if this is a trend just yet, but it’s worth watching.
The jobs report came one day after the strong Q4 GDP report. That report said that the U.S. economy grew at a real annualized rate of 3.3% during the final three months of 2023. That’s quite good. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model just raised its forecast for Q1 GDP growth from 3.0% to 4.2%.
With the economy growing and creating new jobs, why is the Fed in such a rush to raise interest rates? Well, it turns out that the Fed isn’t in a hurry to raise interest rates.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was interviewed on 60 Minutes. The interview aired on Sunday. In it, Powell said that although he’s pleased with the direction in inflation, he and the FOMC aren’t fully convinced that the battle is over.
PELLEY: You’ve avoided a recession. Why not cut the rates now?
POWELL: Well, we have a strong economy. Growth is going on at a solid pace. The labor market is strong: 3.7% unemployment. And inflation is coming down. With the economy strong like that, we feel like we can approach the question of when to begin to reduce interest rates carefully.
And, you know, we want to see more evidence that inflation is moving sustainably down to 2%. We have some confidence in that. Our confidence is rising. We just want some more confidence before we take that very important step of beginning to cut interest rates.
PELLEY: What is it you’re looking at?
POWELL: Basically, we want to see more good data. It’s not that the data aren’t good enough. It’s that there’s really six months of data. We just want to see more good data along those lines. It doesn’t need to be better than what we’ve seen, or even as good. It just needs to be good. And so, we do expect to see that. And that’s why almost every single person on the, on the Federal Open Market Committee believes that it will be appropriate for us to reduce interest rates this year.
I added the boldface. In short, Powell wants to see more good data, and the FOMC thinks rates need to be cut sometime this year.
In the trading pits, Wall Street traders think there’s only a 20% chance that the Fed will cut at its next meeting. That’s a big change in a short amount of time. Just one month ago, the odds of a March cut were at 64%.
The odds of a cut in May were at 95%. Now they’re at 67%.
We’re still in the thick of Q4 earnings season. Frankly, the results haven’t been that great. The first batch of earnings were weak, but the numbers have gotten a bit better.
According to the most recent numbers, 46% of the stocks in the S&P 500 have reported results. Of that, 72% have beaten on earnings and 65% have beaten on revenue. That’s actually not that good. (On Wall Street-istan, you’re expected to beat expectations.) The five-year average is a 77% beat rate for earnings and a 68% beat rate for revenue.
The old Wall Street formula is to lower the expectations bar so low that you can easily step over it. Then declare victory.
Earnings are tracking growth of 1.6%. The average report is 2.6% above estimates. That’s below the five-year average of 8.5%.
Follow-Up on the WillScot/McGrath Deal
Last week, I told you about WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings (WSC) and its offer to buy out McGrath RentCorp (MGRC).
I bring it up again because the behavior of both stocks has been unusual. Normally, the acquirer’s stock falls, but not this time. Shares of WSC have rallied. Meanwhile, McGrath has rallied well above its cash buyout price.
Here’s how it’s supposed to work. The deal is 60% cash and 40% stock. McGrath shareholders have a choice. For each share of MGRC they own, they can either get $123 in cash or 2.8211 shares of WillScot Mobile Mini, but MGRC closed today at $128.71 per share. That’s well above the cash offer price. Meanwhile, WSC closed today at $50.13 per share. That values MGRC at $141.42 per share which is 10% above the current share price, and 15% above the cash price.
Normally, the buyout target wants the cash portion of the deal so they’re protected from a sudden plunge in the acquirer’s stock. This time, it seems that the cash side of the deal is an anchor. I won’t be surprised if the details of this deal are refined in the coming weeks. WillScot will report its Q4 earnings on February 20, and McGrath reports the next day.
That’s all for now. I’ll have more for you in the next issue of CWS Market Review.
– Eddy
P.S. If you want more info on our ETF, you can check out the ETF’s website.
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Morning News: February 6, 2024
Eddy Elfenbein, February 6th, 2024 at 7:03 amXi to Discuss China Stocks With Regulators as Rescue Bets Build
China Is Pumping Money Into Stocks and Markets Are Loving It
Wall Street Snubs China for India in a Historic Markets Shift
Yellen Says Stable Financial System Is Key to U.S. Economic Strength
Banks Sue Regulators Over Anti-Redlining Rule
JPMorgan to Open More Than 500 New Bank Branches Over Next Three Years
UBS Restarts Buyback as Ermotti Slogs Through ‘Pivotal’ Year
NYCB’s Tense Talks With Watchdog Led to Moves That Rocked Market
Brookfield Wants $15 Billion for Real Estate Bet After Stumbles
Facebook’s First Dividend Stands to Make a Few Very Rich
Alibaba’s 80% Loss May Extend on Competition Worries
Summer Has Long Stressed Electric Grids. Now Winter Does, Too
BP Joins Oil Majors With Resilient Profit Beat; Lifts Buyback
F.A.A. Chief Plans to Pledge ‘More Boots on the Ground’ at Plane Factories
Boeing’s Next Crisis: Aerospace Workers Demanding 40% Pay Raise
TSMC to Build Second Chip Plant in Japan
Toyota Cashes In on Booming Hybrid Sales
KDDI Plans to Acquire Further Stake in Japan Convenience-Store Operator Lawson for $3.3 Billion
Lilly’s Zepbound Debut Drives Sales, Pushing Shares Even Higher
Spotify Beats Forecasts for Subscriber Growth; Shares Gain
Who’s Who in the Battle Over Disney’s Board
Blackstone’s $80 Trillion Opportunity
How Loud Billionaires Convert Their Wealth Into Power
Inside a Private Jet Club Where Everything Went Wrong
$7 Million for 30 Seconds? It’s Worth It at the Super Bowl
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Morning News: February 5, 2024
Eddy Elfenbein, February 5th, 2024 at 7:03 amEastern Europe’s Richest Woman Pivots $43 Billion Empire West
China Tightens Some Trading Restrictions for Domestic and Offshore Investors
China Stocks Post More Wild Swings After Beijing Stability Vow
China Real-Estate Projects Set to Receive Loans Under ‘Whitelist’ Program
Top U.S. Treasury Officials to Visit Beijing for Economic Talks
Gold Prices to Hit $2,200 and a ‘Dramatic’ Outperformance Awaits Silver in 2024, Says UBS
Powell Tells ‘60 Minutes’ Fed Is Wary of Cutting Rates Too Soon
Why Are Americans Wary While the Economy Is Healthy? Look at Nevada
How Nevada Is Pushing to Generate Jobs Beyond the Casinos
Morgan Stanley and Goldman Spoil Private Credit’s Record Deal
Why NYC Apartment Buildings Are on Sale Now for 50% Off
What Business Leaders Are Saying About the Red Sea Attacks
McDonald’s Sales Growth Slows as Mideast War Hurts Results
Big Oil’s Optimism Faces Reality Check in Tech-Obsessed Market
Why Is Big Tech Still Cutting Jobs?
Merck to Buy Elanco’s Aqua Business for $1.3 Billion
Apple Vision Pro’s First Test: Will People Wear It in Public?
Google and Yahoo Are Cracking Down on Inbox Spam. Don’t Expect Less Email Marketing
Samsung’s Leader Acquitted in Stock and Accounting Fraud Case
Yandex Owner to Sever Ties to Russia With $5.2 Billion Sale
Wegovy Maker to Boost Production Capacity With Multibillion-Dollar Deal
Team Cow or Team Soy: The Milk Wars Roiling America
How Much for Thin Mints? Some Girl Scouts Raise Cookie Prices
What Happens to Chinatown When the Sports Teams Leave
World Cup 2026 Final Goes to NYC-Area in Victory Over Dallas and LA
N.F.L.’s Rapid Embrace of Gambling Creates Mixed Signals
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Morning News: February 2, 2024
Eddy Elfenbein, February 2nd, 2024 at 7:02 amIndia’s Quiet Push to Steal More of China’s iPhone Business
China Criticizes IMF’s Growth Outlook, Calls to Boost Confidence
Homebuyers in Canada Are So Frenzied They Won’t Wait for Rates to Go Down
Commercial Real Estate’s Slow-Motion Crisis Explained
A New Perk for Some Student Loan Borrowers: A 401(k) Match
US Jobs Report to Show Slower Hiring Pace After Annual Revisions
Biden Takes Aim at Grocery Chains Over Food Prices
Missing Chinese Banker Resigns After Investigation
What’s Really Going On with Bank Stocks
BofA’s Hartnett Says Stock Markets Are Behaving Like Dot-Com Era
US Equity Funds Draw Inflows Amid Positive Economic and Inflation Data
JPMorgan’s Trades Threaten to Take Privacy Out of Private Credit
US Regional Bank Stocks Brace for Final Trading Session of Painful Week
Meta, Amazon Surge by $279 Billion After Cuts Boost Profit
Amazon Enters Chatbot Fray With Shopping Tool
Exxon, Chevron Surpass Forecasts as Shale Drilling Lifts Output
Tesla Runs Afoul of Font-Size Rule in 2.2 Million Electric Cars
China’s New Energy Vehicle Sales Are Softening in Early 2024
A Year After Bankruptcy Concerns, Carvana is Leaner and Ready for its Wall Street Redemption
AbbVie Sees Signs of Post-Humira Growth in Positive 2024 Outlook
Bristol Sees New Drugs Fueling Upbeat 2024 Profit Outlook
Dual Mission for Macy’s New Chief: Revive Stores and Fend Off Takeover
Barbie Owner Mattel Draws Activist Seeking Changes at Toy Maker
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Morning News: February 1, 2024
Eddy Elfenbein, February 1st, 2024 at 7:13 amBeijing Pledges More Fiscal Support as Economy Stumbles
A $560 Billion Property Warning Hits Banks From NY to Tokyo
ECB’s Lane Sees Profits and Wages Important for Inflation Path
BOE Raises Prospect of Rate Cuts in 2024 If Inflation Eases
NY Community Bancorp Plunges as Real Estate Risks Jolt Market
Deutsche Bank to Cut 3,500 Jobs and Reward Shareholders
BNP Paribas Delays Profit Target in Shock to Investors
A New Global Tax Is About to Raise Billions. The U.S. Is Missing Out.
Risky Borrowers Storm Loan Market for Once ‘Unthinkable’ Savings
The Fed Is Taking It Slow. But the Markets Want More
Powell Navigates ‘Toxic’ Politics of Rate Cuts as Election Nears
US Firms’ Hiring Announcements Ease to Slowest January on Record
Employed But Unhappy: What’s in Store for US Workers in 2024
Generative A.I.’s Biggest Impact Will Be in Banking and Tech, Report Says
Can This A.I.-Powered Search Engine Replace Google? It Has for Me
A.I. Fuels a New Era of Product Placement
U.S. Makes Initial Offers in Medicare Drug Price Negotiations
In Year Since Ohio Crash, Railroads Barely Move Needle on Safety
Wind Farms Are Overstating Their Output — And Consumers Are Paying For It
Shell Hikes Dividend as Gas Trading Business Boosts Bottom Line Amid Turn Away from Renewables
‘Your Product Is Killing People’: Tech Leaders Denounced Over Child Safety
Volvo, An Early Electric Car Adopter, Cuts Off Funding For Its EV Affiliate
Musk Moves Ahead With Plan to Shift Tesla Domicile to Texas
The Lawyer—and Drummer—Who Felled Elon Musk’s $55.8 Billion Compensation Package
Amazon Could Soon Be on Hook for Safety of Third-Party Products It Sells and Ships
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Morning News: January 31, 2024
Eddy Elfenbein, January 31st, 2024 at 7:04 amChina’s Censorship Dragnet Targets Critics of the Economy
Pro Take: Foreign Creditors Face Challenge in Reaching China Evergrande’s Assets
Saudi Arabia Eyes Reviving Multibillion Dollar Aramco Share Sale
Oil Traders Won Ecuador Deals With $70,000 Watch and Bags of Cash
A New Solution for CO2 Emissions: Bury Them at Sea
Europe Regulates Its Way to Last Place
Unlikely Allies Want to Bar a Brazilian Beef Giant From U.S. Stock Markets
Will a Hiring Slowdown Push the Fed to Cut Rates Soon?
Fed to Hold Interest Rates Steady But Start Considering Cuts
There Are No ‘Price Controls,’ There’s Just Scarcity
Pimco Squares Up for a Bareknuckle Fight in Private Credit
A Pre-I.P.O. Gift to Company Executives: ‘11th-Hour Options Discounting’
Wall Street Punishes Alphabet and Microsoft Despite Earnings Beats After Stocks Hit Record
Microsoft Has Three Trillion Reasons to Keep the Heat on Google
Boeing Pulls Guidance to Show Investors That Safety Comes First
Novo Nordisk Smashes Past $500 Billion Value on Wegovy Frenzy
Novartis Shares Fall After Earnings Miss Hopes, Outlook Disappoints
GSK Bets on Further Growth After Shingles and RSV Vaccines Boost Sales
Byron Allen Makes $14 Billion Offer for Paramount Global
Musk’s $55 Billion Pay Package Voided, Threatening World’s Biggest Fortune
Who Is Most Likely to Get Fired? Remote Workers, Middle Managers
H&M Replaces CEO After Another Lackluster Year
PGA Said to Approve $3 Billion Investment From Fenway-Led Group
N.C.A.A. Inquiry Takes On Growing Role of Booster Groups
Universal Music Group Poised to Stop Licensing Music to TikTok
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Morning News: January 30, 2024
Eddy Elfenbein, January 30th, 2024 at 7:02 amIMF Lifts World GDP Outlook on US Strength, China Fiscal Support
Evergrande Liquidation to Leave Little for Creditors to Claim
China’s Real Estate Crisis ‘Has Not Touched Bottom’
Global Clean Energy Spending Surges to $1.8 Trillion. It’s Not Enough
Saudi Aramco Drops Expansion Plan, Raising Demand Questions
The Billionaire Sultan Set to Gain Even More Power in Malaysia
Eurozone Economy Flatlines, Raising Concerns About Falling Behind
Germany’s Economy Shrank at End of 2023 as Gloomy Sentiment Persists
Global Deal Activity on Course to Rebound This Year
Fewer Workers Are Quitting. Here’s What That Means for the Economy
Why Cut Rates in an Economy This Strong? A Big Question Confronts the Fed.
Banks Are Hawking US Recession Hedges Tied to Both Stocks, Bonds
JPMorgan Quants Warn of Dot-Com Style Concentration in US Stocks
Scandal-Hit Trading Desk Turns Into Money Spinner at Wells Fargo
Toyota Remains World’s Top-Selling Automaker; Chairman Apologises Over Scandals
GM Sees Higher Profits Ahead as 2023’s Problems Recede
BYD Shares Fall as China’s Auto Price War Weighs on Bottom Line
As Demand for Fast Deliveries Surges, the Industry Struggles on EV Transition
Truck Makers Team Up to Push for Electric Vehicle Chargers
Companies Hire ‘Robot Wranglers’ to Corral Lost and Confused Cyborgs
Walmart Hopes New Flashing Lights Will Help Shoppers Find Stuff
The World’s Biggest Jeweler Now Only Sources Recycled Metals
How Do You Make a Weed Empire? Sell It Like Streetwear
Joel Embiid Wants the African Diaspora to Flourish Onscreen
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CWS Market Review – January 29, 2024
Eddy Elfenbein, January 29th, 2024 at 1:15 pmExciting news today! One of our Buy List stocks, McGrath RentCorp (MGRC), is being bought out for $123 per share. That’s a 10% premium to Friday’s closing price.
I wanted to send you this special alert to let you know what’s happening.
McGrath RentCorp has reached a deal with WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings (WSC) to be bought for $123 per share in cash and stock. WillScott describes itself as “a leader in innovative temporary space solutions.” McGrath is one of our new buys this year.
The deal is expected to close in the second quarter of this year. WillScot merged with Mobile Mini a few years ago.
I’ll be honest – I’m not wild about this deal price. I think McGrath may be selling itself short. The stock was close to $123 just a few weeks ago. Still, I understand there was probably a lot of negotiating behind the scenes, and that could be why a large amount of the deal is in cash.
Both boards have approved the deal, but it’s not done just yet. The deal still needs regulatory approval and the approval of shareholders. I don’t think that will be a problem, and the stock market apparently agrees. You can tell that by how closely MGRC has been trading to $123 per share.
Here are the details. McGrath shareholders have a choice. For each share of MGRC they own, they can either get $123.00 in cash or 2.8211 shares of WillScot Mobile Mini. However, shareholders may run up against limitations since the entire deal is to be 60% cash and 40% stock. I don’t know the details just yet. Personally, I favor getting as many shares of WSC as possible.
In the press release, the companies spell out the benefits of the deal:
• Highly complementary businesses with diversified customer segments: The acquisition brings together two complementary businesses, enhancing diversity across customer segments. The combined company’s broad offering, attractive unit economics and long rental durations underpin its uniquely predictable recurring cash flow profile. On a pro forma basis, approximately 90% of combined total revenue is derived from leasing and related services, while the addition of Enviroplex expands WillScot Mobile Mini’s permanent modular capabilities.
• Operating synergies with a high confidence of realization: $50 million of run-rate operating synergies expected to be achieved within 24 months of closing. Confidence in targets reinforced by WillScot Mobile Mini’s long history of successful M&A integrations.
• Increased scale allowing accelerated rollout of growth initiatives: The combined customer base and rental fleet represent an expanded platform for the rollout of WillScot Mobile Mini’s strategic levers, such as Value-Added Products and Services, cross-selling and commercial best practices, and operations excellence. Together, these provide a clear path to multiple years of sustained growth and margin expansion.
• Strong financial position underpins reinvestment in growth: The combined company’s strengthened financial profile, enhanced cash generation and de-leveraging capability, and disciplined capital allocation amplify WillScot Mobile Mini’s ability to reinvest in growth and compound returns.McGrath shareholders will ultimately own 12.6% of WSC. Putting aside my concerns about the sale price, this is a very good day for us and for CWS.
That’s all for now. I’ll have more for you in the next issue of CWS Market Review.
– Eddy
P.S. If you want more info on our ETF, you can check out the ETF’s website.
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Morning News: January 29, 2024
Eddy Elfenbein, January 29th, 2024 at 7:04 amEvergrande Set for Liquidation as China Property Crisis Drags On
EU Reinforces Tight Limits on Crypto Firms from Outside Bloc
A Little Dual Easing Soon Could Help the Fed Avoid Major Easing Later
Xi Jinping Can’t Prop Up Chinese Shares Much As Fed Can’t U.S. Shares
Treasury Seen Boosting Long-Term Debt Sales One Last Time
Mortgage Rates in US to Snap Three-Year Streak of Gains, Survey Shows
Traders Line Up for ‘Once-in-a-Generation’ Emerging Markets Bet
Biden Power Plant and EV Plans Hit a New Obstacle: Vulnerable Democrats
US Chicken Prices to Fall at Last Thanks to Green Fuel Boom
Activist Investors Fret Over Exxon Mobil’s Lawsuit Bypassing US Regulator
There’s So Much Data Even Spies Are Struggling to Find Secrets
Hottest Job in Corporate America? The Executive in Charge of A.I.
US Wants Cloud Firms to Reveal Foreign Clients in China AI Race
U.S. Oil Drillers Are Going Electric—and Hitting Speed Bumps
Logistics-Tech Startups Face Uncertain Future as Freight Slump Continues
Blackstone Is Building a $25 Billion Empire of Power-Hungry Data Centers
BYD Preliminary Net Income Rises Up to 87% But Misses Estimates
Toyota Halts Shipments of 10 Models Over Mishandling of Engine Tests
Ring to Stop Allowing Police to Request Videos From Security Cameras
Amazon Is Now Charging Prime Members Extra for Ad-Free Streaming. For Some, That’s a Deal Breaker
Basketball, Basketball, Basketball: Inside Steve Ballmer’s New $2 Billion Arena
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Morning News: January 26, 2024
Eddy Elfenbein, January 26th, 2024 at 7:02 amChina Signals More Targeted Stimulus to Come
China Evergrande Unit Starts Legal Proceedings Against Parent
As China’s Markets Stumble, Japan Rises Toward Record
German Consumers Feel the Chill as Inflation Keeps Biting
Biden Freezes Approvals to Export Gas, Imperiling Major Projects
Reforms to US Disaster Aid Expose Growing Home Insurance Gap
American Workers Come Out Winners in a Clash Between Economists Over a Curve
The Fed Tells Banks Not to Be Shy About Asking It for Money
Wall Street Unleashes Quants in Race for Private-Market Billions
Us Equity Fund Withdrawals Ebb To Four-Week Low Amid Tech-Led Wall Street Rally
Is Cryptocurrency Like Stocks and Bonds? Courts Move Closer to an Answer
JPMorgan Shuffles Top Managers as Jamie Dimon Prepares Successors
The F.T.C. Takes on A.I. Deals
The Sleepy Copyright Office in the Middle of a High-Stakes Clash Over A.I.
Companies Turn to Earnouts to Find Common Ground on M&A Valuations
KKR-Backed BrightSpring Prices Its $693 Million IPO Below Range
Microsoft’s Rise to $3 Trillion Took Much More Than Windows
Intel Poised for Biggest Plunge Since 2021 on Weak Forecast
Starbucks, Coke Boycotts Over Gaza War Are Boosting Middle East Rivals
Americans Keep Signing Up for New Phone Plans. Who’s Driving the Growth?
How a Lucky Break Fueled Eli Lilly’s $600 Billion Weight-Loss Empire
These Gyms Survived the Pandemic. They’re Still Sweating
Will Fanatics Upend the World of Sports Collectibles?
Nascar Targets Diverse Audiences to Expand Viewership, Despite Anti-DEI Backlash
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Eddy Elfenbein is a Washington, DC-based speaker, portfolio manager and editor of the blog Crossing Wall Street. His