-
Morning News: September 6, 2023
Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on September 6th, 2023 at 7:06 amSpeeding Up Green Transition Would Make It Cheaper Too – ECB
Saudi Cuts Send World Diesel Prices Soaring
$100 Oil? What a Price Spike Could Mean for Markets and Geopolitics
Thieves Target ‘Liquid Gold’ as Olive Oil Prices Soar
Pork Industry Grapples With Whiplash of Shifting Regulations
India’s Moment Has Arrived, and Modi Wants a New Global Order
Bank of Canada Poised to Hold Rates at 5% But Threaten More Hikes
Fed Set to Double Its Economic Growth Forecast After Strong US Data
KKR’s McVey Boosts Economic Outlook, Recommends Investors Buy Real Assets
Rising Rents Are Hitting American Suburbs Hardest
China Bans iPhone Use for Government Officials at Work
In Its First Monopoly Trial of Modern Internet Era, U.S. Sets Sights on Google
Google Turns to a Steady Old Hand to Fight Antitrust Charges
Roku Cutting 10% of Staff to Rein In Rising Expenses
Elon Musk Borrowed $1 Billion From SpaceX in Same Month of Twitter Acquisition
Disney’s Wildest Ride: Iger, Chapek and the Making of an Epic Succession Mess
Disney Lures Sports Fans to Hulu+ With ESPN Pulled From Charter
ESPN Bets Big on Pat McAfee, an F-Bomb-Throwing YouTube Star
Warner Bros. Cuts Profit Outlook as Hollywood Strikes Drag On
Powered by A.I., Company Aims to Make Selling Easier for Retailers
Be sure to follow me on Twitter.
-
CWS Market Review – September 5, 2023
Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on September 5th, 2023 at 8:09 pm(This is the free version of CWS Market Review. If you like what you see, then please sign up for the premium newsletter for $20 per month or $200 for the whole year. If you sign up today, you can see our two reports, “Your Handy Guide to Stock Orders” and “How Not to Get Screwed on Your Mortgage.”)
This Is the Tough Time of Year for Stocks
I hope you had a relaxing weekend. Traditionally, Labor Day Weekend marks a big change for stock returns.
A few years ago, I took the entire 127-year history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and broke down how the index performs for each day of the year. That’s about 35,000 daily figures.
This is what the average year has looked like for the Dow. The index starts at 100 on January 1.
What I found is that historically, the Dow has reached a peak on September 6, shortly after Labor Day, and it’s fallen an average of 2.21% by October 29.
A drop of 2.21% may not sound like much, but it’s an unusually large drop when combining 127 years’ worth of data. That’s more than one-quarter of the Dow’s average annual gain.
Historically, the summer has been a very good time for stocks. From June 27 to September 6, the Dow has gained an average of 3.76%. That means that nearly half of the Dow’s annual gain has come over just 71 calendar days.
I want to stress that I don’t put a great deal of faith in these type of calendar effects. I would never make an investing decision based on one, but I do find them interesting. It seems very reasonable that summer has traditionally been good for stocks and that once the first hint of autumn comes, traders walk back some of those easy gains. This year, Wall Street had a good run from mid-March until late July, but investors may be growing more cautious. Speaking of growing caution, let’s look at last week’s job report.
The Economy Created 187,000 Jobs Last Month
On Friday, the government reported that the U.S. economy created 187,000 net new jobs last month. While that’s higher than Wall Street’s consensus for 170,000 jobs, it did mark the third month in a row of sub-200,000 jobs. On top of that, the jobs numbers for June and July were revised lower. June was lowered by 30,000 and July was lowered by 80,000.
Before reading too much into this, I should caution you that the jobs numbers for August can be tricky. It’s a difficult month to track new jobs. As a result, the revisions to the August numbers can be unusually high. For example, two years ago, the August jobs number was eventually doubled from the initial report. With econ data, it’s more important to look at the overall trends.
For August, the unemployment rate rose to 3.8% which is the highest in 18 months. I also like to look at the “U-6” rate which is a broader measure of joblessness. For August, the U-6 rate rose by 0.4% to 7.1%. It’s now at its highest level since May 2022.
One good sign is that the labor force participation rate rose to 62.8%. That’s the highest in more than three years. In plain English, it means that more people are out there looking for jobs. Once you stop looking, the government stops counting you as unemployed.
Perhaps the most important figure is wages. For August, average hourly earnings increased by 0.2%. That was below expectations of 0.3%. Over the last year, average hourly earnings are up by 4.3%. Wall Street had been expecting 4.4%. Hours worked rose slightly to 34.4. This is important because higher earnings generally means more revenue for business.
Here are some details:
“The U.S. labor market continues to come back to earth but from a very high peak,” said Nick Bunker, head of economic research at the Indeed Hiring Lab. “The labor market was sprinting last year and now it’s getting closer to a marathon pace. A slowdown is welcome; it’s the only way to go the distance.”
Healthcare showed the biggest gain by sector, adding 71,000. Other leaders were leisure and hospitality (40,000), social assistance (26,000), and construction (22,000).
Transportation and warehousing lost 34,000, likely due to the Yellow trucking bankruptcy, and information declined by 15,000.
There could be some cracks showing in the labor market. Last week’s job openings report showed a decline of nearly nine million job openings in July. There are still 1.5 jobs for every unemployed person.
Last week, the Q2 GDP report was revised a bit lower to 2.1%. The day after the GDP report, we also got the personal income and spending data. For July, personal income increased by 0.2%. That was 0.1% below expectations. Personal spending increased by 0.8%. That beat expectations by 0.1%.
The PCE Price Index, which is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, rose by 0.2% in July. Over the last 12 months, the PCE has increased by 3.3%. The core PCE is up by 4.2%.
The Federal Reserve meets again in two weeks. I expect the Fed to pause again at this coming meeting, but the following meeting, in early November, is a different story. There’s a chance that the Fed will raise rates again, but it’s far from certain. In fact, it’s not out of bounds for the Fed to be finished with its rate hikes for this cycle. Goldman Sachs thinks so.
Traders currently place the odds of a pause in November at 59%. One week ago, the odds were at 65%.
I’m not ready to say that the Fed is done with its hikes just yet, but we’ll soon get more data. The next important date is Wednesday, September 13 when the next inflation report is due out. If we’re not at the end of the Fed’s rate cycle, then we’re getting very close. That’s good news for investors.
Looking at the Sahm Rule
The economist Claudia Sahm is known as the inventor of the “Sahm Rule” which tells us if we’re in a recession or not.
The rule is simple but the reasoning behind it is very clever. The idea is that if the unemployment rate rises by a little, then it’s likely to rise by a lot.
This is a smart insight because it recognizes that economic cycles tend to reinforce each other. For example, a recession may lead to corporate layoffs. Those layoffs lead to decreased consumer spending. In turn, that leads to lower profits, and so on. In other words, a recession leads to a recession and a recovery builds on a recovery.
This is also why it’s been very hard for the Fed to engineer soft landings.
Best of all, the Sahm Rule is easy to calculate. It says we’re in a recession when the rolling three-month average for unemployment is 0.5% or more higher than the rolling three-month low over the last 12 months.
The rolling three-month average for unemployment reached 3.5% four months in a row (January through April). This means that the Sahm Rule would be triggered if the unemployment rate averages 4.0% for over a three-month period. This is why I took notice when last week’s report said that unemployment increased from 3.5% to 3.8%.
The math is easy. If we have an unemployment rate of 4.2% in September and October, then the Sahm Rule says we’re in a recession. Currently, the Sahm Rule is at 0.13%. Goldman Sachs just lowered its odds of a recession sometime in the next 12 months to 15%. This is the third time in three months that Goldman has lowered its recession odds.
To be clear, I agree that a recession right now is very unlikely. Also, this economy has proven to be far more resilient than a lot of experts thought.
That’s all for now. I’ll have more for you in the next issue of CWS Market Review.
– Eddy
P.S. If you want more info on our ETF, you can check out the ETF’s website.
-
Morning News: September 5, 2023
Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on September 5th, 2023 at 7:07 amGulf Royal’s $1.5 Trillion Empire Draws Bankers and Billionaires
China’s Country Garden Narrowly Avoids Default
Argentina, in Dollar Love Affair, Agonizes Over Divorcing the Peso
European Asset Managers Reject Plans for Tighter Liquidity Rules
US Banks Hold $3.3 Trillion Cash Amid Banking Crisis, Slowdown Worries
Rising Demand for Fed Bank Lending Program Not a Sign of Stress
Goldman Cuts US Recession Chances to 15% on Improved Inflation
How Slowing Inflation Can Hit Corporate Profits
Crypto Market-Making Profit Margins Sink 30%
A $700 Million Bonanza for the Winners of Crypto’s Collapse: Lawyers
SoftBank’s Arm Seeks to Raise Up to $4.87 Billion in Anticipated IPO
What Huawei’s Comeback Says About US-China Tech War
Mercedes CEO Changes Tune on China as ‘Economic Wonder’ Stalls
In EV Transition, German Carmakers Lag Behind Tesla and China
Why the U.S. Labor Movement Is So Popular But Union Membership Is Dwindling
Return-to-Office Is a $1.3 Trillion Problem Few Have Figured Out
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman First Person to Get Indonesian Golden Visa
Messi Drives Jump in Apple TV+ and MLS Subscriptions
Tyson Foods Couldn’t Produce Enough Chicken. Now It Has Too Much
Be sure to follow me on Twitter.
-
Morning News: September 4, 2023
Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on September 4th, 2023 at 7:08 amMoney and Politics Put World’s Biggest Climate Deal at Risk
Xi’s Unexplained G-20 Snub Erodes Image as Global Statesman
Huawei Teardown Shows Chip Breakthrough in Blow to US Sanctions
China’s Biggest Homebuilder Reels as Economy Slows
Faced With Evolving Threats, U.S. Navy Struggles to Change
US Stock Investors’ Complacency is Worrying, JPMorgan Strategists Warn
The Discredited Phillips Curve Cannot Be Discredited Enough
Inside a Sales Army Turning a Tax Break Into a Modern-Day Gold Rush
Arm IPO Expectations Tempered by Reality as Roadshow Kicks Off
Diamond Prices Are in Free Fall in One Key Corner of the Market
India Steps Up Coal Use to Stop Outages Triggered by Unusually Dry Weather
Warren Buffett’s Green Cash Washes Over Coal Country
J&J’s $40 Billion Split-Off Sets Stage for Pharma, Medical Tech Expansion
The Ground-Floor Window Into What’s Ailing Downtowns
Where in the World Are People Back in the Office?
Labor Could Be Detroit’s Next Big Disruption
Electric Cars Power China’s Economic Hopes as Internet Titans Take a Back Seat
Mercedes Bets on Range Boost in Swipe at Tesla’s EV Lead
Apple Is Set to Embrace an iPhone Charger Change It Didn’t Want
Be sure to follow me on Twitter.
-
Morning News: September 1, 2023
Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on September 1st, 2023 at 7:02 amNew Rising Stars Are Powering Gulf’s $50 Billion Spending Spree
India Is Losing a Green-Energy Subsidy Race
World’s Biggest Interest Rate Cuts Are Chile’s Prize for Taming Inflation
China Ramps Up Campaign to Boost Fragile Economy, Currency
The US, Allies See Opportunity and Risk in China’s Slowing Economy
Fed Officials Will Parse Jobs Numbers to Assess Economy’s Momentum
Summer Spending Surge Shows Consumers Driving Economic Growth
Rates Are Up. We’re Just Starting to Feel the Heat
US Stocks Still Face Hard Landing Risks, Bank of America Says
NFTs, Once Hyped as the Next Big Thing, Now Face ‘Worst Moment’
Wall Street Moguls Win Important Backer in Their Fight Over Hedge Fund Sale
Jon Corzine’s Critics Want Him Banned From Futures Trading
Wall Street Gets Tough on Return-to-Office Laggards
US Hiring to Slow Again Amid Writers Strike, Yellow Bankruptcy
5 Things CFOs Should Know About Generative AI
Billionaires’ Secretive Plan to Build a New City Is Backfiring
Tesla Refreshes Model 3 and Slashes Prices of Top-End Cars
Walgreens Chief Executive Roz Brewer Steps Down
New Boozy Drinks Blur Lines Between Kid and Adult Beverages
People Are More Generous Than You May Think
Be sure to follow me on Twitter.
-
Morning News: August 31, 2023
Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on August 31st, 2023 at 7:04 amInflation Rate in Eurozone Holds Steady
China’s Factory Activity Sparks Hope Slump Is Bottoming Out
China’s Slowing Economy Spells Trouble for Dry-Bulk Shipping
The U.S. and China Are Talking Again. Where It Will Lead Is Unclear
U.S. Businesses Need Predictability From China, Commerce Chief Says
The US Is Losing the Corn-Exporting Crown
Shell Quietly Abandons Its $100 Million-a-Year Plan to Offset Carbon Emissions
Fed’s Bostic Urges Caution to Avoid Inflicting Unnecessary Pain
UBS Flags Cost Cuts After $29 Billion Credit Suisse Windfall
Microsoft to Unbundle Teams Software in Europe
Musk Says X Will Offer Video and Audio Calls in Move Toward Super-App
The Tropical Island With the Hot Domain Name
Salesforce Needs to Play Its AI Chips Wisely
EV Boom Remakes Rural Towns in the American South
Companies Are Using Fewer Temp Workers, but That Doesn’t Portend a Downturn
Make Less Than $55,000 a Year? You Could Get Overtime Pay Under Biden Plan
Mark Thompson Helped Steady 2 News Outlets. Can He Do the Same at CNN?
Constellation Brands Has Sobered Up. Its Stock Has Room to Party
The Fight to Control Big Gay Ice Cream, Which Made the Rainbow Its Brand
For Women With Money Issues, an A.D.H.D. Diagnosis Can Be Revelatory
Be sure to follow me on Twitter.
-
Morning News: August 30, 2023
Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on August 30th, 2023 at 7:05 amGabon Military Stages Coup, the Latest to Hit a Former French Colony in Africa
Parisians Are Pledging Allegiance to the ‘Republic of Super Neighbors.’ They Must Bring Cheese.
China Moves to Shore Up Finances of Troubled Bank
China’s Biggest Homebuilder Raises Capital in Scramble to Pay Debts
EU Lawmakers Struggle to Compromise on Post-Brexit Derivatives Clearing
Crypto’s Top Enemy Gensler Put on Defensive by Grayscale Ruling
Funds Punished for Owning Too Few Nvidia Shares After Stunning 230% Rally
Tiger Cubs’ Wrong-Way Bets Cut Flow of Fresh Cash to a Trickle
Voice Deepfakes Are Coming for Your Bank Balance
Oil Rises on US Stockpile Draw and Hurricane Jitters
Lithium Players Race for Breakthrough to Meet Electric Car Demand
Toyota-Supplier Denso Is Ready for the EV Era
Where Peak-Season Shipping Is Headed, In Charts
Train Wi-Fi Can Be Terrible. Operators Are Looking High and Low for Solutions
A California Land Mystery Is Solved. Now the Political Fight Begins
Where Tech Investors Are Buying Up Land, Locals Are Worried
The Hostile Takeover of Blue Cities by Red States
How a Tiny Mexican Border City Built a Budget Dental Empire
Lego Sales Increase While Other Toy Makers Struggle
Be sure to follow me on Twitter.
-
CWS Market Review – August 29, 2023
Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on August 29th, 2023 at 6:53 pm(This is the free version of CWS Market Review. If you like what you see, then please sign up for the premium newsletter for $20 per month or $200 for the whole year. If you sign up today, you can see our two reports, “Your Handy Guide to Stock Orders” and “How Not to Get Screwed on Your Mortgage.”)
Jay Powell Gives Stocks a Boost
“August, die she must.” So sang Simon and Garfunkel. Indeed, the month of August is nearly over, and it’s been a slightly negative one for Wall Street. Through Tuesday, the S&P 500 is down 2% for the month. Of course, that’s not a very big drop in any historical context, but it could be our first monthly loss since February.
Interestingly, when the mini-selloff started at the beginning of the month, growth stocks took much of the heat. That’s standard for a downward market, but then things changed, and it was value suffering the most.
The S&P 500 even closed below its 50-day moving average for nine days in a row. The streak finally ended today thanks to a nice three-day rally on Wall Street. In fact, the S&P 500 just posted its best three-day run since March.
On Tuesday, the S&P 500 had its best day since June 2. If you want to split hairs, Tuesday’s gain was a millimeter behind the gain from June 2 (1.453% to 1.451%).
What’s the cause for the late-August optimism? That’s no secret. It was largely due to the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s tempered outlook at Jackson Hole this past weekend.
On the weekend before Labor Day, the Federal Reserve holds its annual powwow in Jackson Hole, WY. On Friday, Jerome Powell gave a speech in which he stressed the need to be vigilant against inflation. That’s pretty much boilerplate for any big Fed conference although he did say that more rate hikes may be coming.
Powell didn’t give a lot of details, but he did say that the Fed has made considerable progress in fighting inflation. Last summer, the 12-month inflation rate peaked at more than 9%. It’s down by about two-thirds since then. Bear in mind that prices are still rising, just at a slower rate.
Powell said, “We are prepared to raise rates further if appropriate and intend to hold policy at a restrictive level until we are confident that inflation is moving sustainably down toward our objective.”
While that sounds tough, it’s noticeably different from last year’s Jackson Hole conference. That’s when Powell made headlines by saying that “some pain” will be needed to confront inflation. That line seriously rattled the markets. In fact, stocks didn’t turn positive until October.
This year, markets are far more pleased. I think many observers were concerned that Powell would deploy more “some pain”-type of rhetoric. That didn’t happen and stocks and bonds are rallying. Over the last week, the yield on the 10-year Treasury has fallen by 0.2%.
We don’t have the August inflation numbers yet, but the core inflation rates for both June and July were 0.2%. That’s pretty good. Powell agreed that those numbers are good, but he added that it’s “only the beginning of what it will take to build confidence that inflation is moving down sustainably toward our goal.”
The Fed is winning the war against inflation, but it’s important to stress that the battle isn’t over just yet.
Another good development is that the Fed has reduced its gigantic balance sheet. The Fed has allowed nearly $1 trillion worth of bonds to roll off since the middle of last year.
The Fed meets again in three weeks. This will be another meeting where the Fed will update its economic forecasts. For now, the futures markets largely expect another pause from the Fed. That means the central bank will vote to keep its target range for the Fed funds rate at 5.25% to 5.50%. Interest rates haven’t been this high in 22 years.
After next month’s meeting, things get a little cloudy. The Fed won’t meet again until early November. Right now, it looks to be a tossup on the odds for another rate hike. Futures traders are about evenly divided between a 0.25% rate hike and another rate pause. Obviously, the data between now and then will help tip the balance.
We can’t say for certain, but this could be end of the Fed’s rate-hiking cycle. Even if there’s another hike or two coming, the long series of hikes is mostly likely past us. Traders currently think there’s a decent shot of a Fed rate cut by May. I’m skeptical but I understand that investors are concerned about future economic growth.
Higher interest rates have an important influence on investors as they force investors to become more conservative with their portfolios. Cheap money can initially reward foolish ideas. Those rewards often don’t stay for long.
Better’s SPAC Goes SPLAT
Speaking of silly behavior, Better.com (BETR) has seen better days. The online mortgage lender went public this week, but not by the traditional route.
Instead, Better.com’s parent company, Better Home & Finance, merged with Aurora Acquisition Corp. (AURC)
Never heard of them? Well, you’re not alone. Aurora is a Special Purpose Acquisition Company, better known as a SPAC.
SPACs are basically shell companies that are already listed on the exchanges. Instead of going public through an IPO, a SPAC will buy an unlisted company thereby making it publicly traded. That way, it skips a lot of bureaucratic steps.
If you think SPACs are sketchy, I agree. The day before the Better deal, shares of Aurora were trading at $17.44. After the deal, the stock fell to $1.15. Now it’s at 85 cents per share. The SPAC is now a speck.
SPACs were all the rage a few years ago. It’s amazing how low interest rates can make smart people do a lot of silly things. In Q1 of 2021, 278 SPACs hit the market. In Q2 of this year, only four went public. In Q1 of 2021, 98 SPAC deals were announced, but only 100 in the first half of this year.
Bloomberg notes that there have been 11 SPAC deals this month. Nine of them are in the red. The median loss is 41%. Roughly 40% of the 400 SPACs now trade below $2 per share. Most SPACS started at $10 per share so we’re talking about an 80% loss.
Better is fighting two headwinds at the same time. It’s a terrible market for SPACs and it’s a lousy market for mortgages. Better is already considered somewhat shady. This is the company that made the news two years ago when it fired 900 employees over Zoom. These aren’t exactly PR geniuses we’re dealing with.
If that’s not enough, the SEC delayed Better’s SPAC deal until it concluded an investigation to see if it had violated securities law. The SEC ultimately decided against any enforcement action.
Better is only the latest in a series of SPACs than have gone splat. Shares of WeWork (WE) and Virgin Galactic (SPCE) have both been crushed. Virgin Orbit and Pear Therapeutics both filed for bankruptcy. WeWork may not be far behind.
It really is all driven by interest rates. When rates are high, the future is expensive, but when rates are low, the future is cheap — and sometimes it gets too cheap.
That’s all for now. The stock market will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. I’ll have more for you in the next issue of CWS Market Review.
– Eddy
P.S. If you want more info on our ETF, you can check out the ETF’s website.
-
Morning News: August 29, 2023
Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on August 29th, 2023 at 7:05 amChina’s Economic Outlook: Pep Talks Up Top, Gloom on the Ground
China Banks to Cut Rates on Mortgages, Deposits
Manufacturers Leaving China Find a Home With Indian Startups
Germany Is Losing Its Mojo. Finding It Again Won’t Be Easy
Quietly Absorbing One More Fed Hike
The S&P Just Avoided an Unwanted Statistic. This Is the Next Text
FDIC Set to Unveil Plan for Stricter Regional Bank Rules
Citadel Vets 69,000 Intern Applicants to Find Next Math Geniuses
World’s Hottest Stock Evokes Memories of a $400 Billion Crash
Goldman Is Selling a Wealth-Advisory Unit to $240 Billion Money Manager
C.E.O.s Side with New York in the Migrant Crisis
Move Over, San Francisco: The Suburbs of Silicon Valley Are Calling
Mortgage Rates at 7% Are Making Everything Worse for US Homebuyers
More US Firms Offer Student Loan Help to Debt-Burdened Grads
NIO Earnings Miss Estimates. But There Is Some Good News for Tesla and BYD
Amazon CEO Andy Jassy Warns Remote Workers: ‘It’s Probably Not Going to Work Out for You’
3M Board Approves $6 Billion Earplug Settlement
U.S. Fines American Airlines for Dozens of Long Tarmac Delays
Subway Foot Traffic Crumbles More than 20% as Sandwich Maker OKs $9.6 Billion Sale
Be sure to follow me on Twitter.
-
Morning News: August 28, 2023
Posted by Eddy Elfenbein on August 28th, 2023 at 7:11 amEuro Zone Lending Growth Slows Further as Rate Hikes Bite
Lagarde Policy Silence Keeps ECB Interest-Rate Debate Raging
Why Central Bankers Are Unsure Whether They’ve Raised Rates Enough
China’s 5.5% Stock Rally Fizzles in Blow to Market Rescue Effort
Evergrande Loses $2 Billion In Value As Trade Resumes; Extends Creditor Voting
China’s Worsening Economic Slowdown Is Rippling Across the Globe
Biden’s Commerce Secretary Raimondo Says Trade Can Stabilize US-China Ties
Apple’s iPhone Supply Chain Splinters Under US-China Tensions
US-Sino Tensions Help Spawn China Card Game Craze
Fed’s Inflation Fight, China’s Slowdown Hammer Emerging Markets
Economists, and Their Comical Search For a Higher ‘Inflation Target’
Traders Have S&P 500 Comebacks Fading at Historic Pace
The ‘Fidelity Mafia’ Behind Big Crypto
Western Banks Help Fund Blacklisted Oligarch’s Charity
Consumers Are Spending Like It’s 2019
Auto Union Boss Wants 46% Raise, 32-Hour Work Week in ‘War’ Against Detroit Carmakers
3M Agrees to Pay More Than $5.5 Billion Over Combat Earplugs
Owens Corning Appears Insulated From High Rates
Hawaiian Electric Stock Surges. It’s Fighting Back Against Maui Wildfire Allegations
Broken Satellite Risks Big Claim in Shrinking Insurance Market
A.I. Brings the Robot Wingman to Aerial Combat
Please Support This Ice Maker: Big Manufacturers Try Crowdfunding to Market-Test Products
Be sure to follow me on Twitter.
-
Archives
- June 2026
- May 2026
- April 2026
- March 2026
- February 2026
- January 2026
- December 2025
- November 2025
- October 2025
- September 2025
- August 2025
- July 2025
- June 2025
- May 2025
- April 2025
- March 2025
- February 2025
- January 2025
- December 2024
- November 2024
- October 2024
- September 2024
- August 2024
- July 2024
- June 2024
- May 2024
- April 2024
- March 2024
- February 2024
- January 2024
- December 2023
- November 2023
- October 2023
- September 2023
- August 2023
- July 2023
- June 2023
- May 2023
- April 2023
- March 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- December 2021
- November 2021
- October 2021
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- March 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- November 2020
- October 2020
- September 2020
- August 2020
- July 2020
- June 2020
- May 2020
- April 2020
- March 2020
- February 2020
- January 2020
- December 2019
- November 2019
- October 2019
- September 2019
- August 2019
- July 2019
- June 2019
- May 2019
- April 2019
- March 2019
- February 2019
- January 2019
- December 2018
- November 2018
- October 2018
- September 2018
- August 2018
- July 2018
- June 2018
- May 2018
- April 2018
- March 2018
- February 2018
- January 2018
- December 2017
- November 2017
- October 2017
- September 2017
- August 2017
- July 2017
- June 2017
- May 2017
- April 2017
- March 2017
- February 2017
- January 2017
- December 2016
- November 2016
- October 2016
- September 2016
- August 2016
- July 2016
- June 2016
- May 2016
- April 2016
- March 2016
- February 2016
- January 2016
- December 2015
- November 2015
- October 2015
- September 2015
- August 2015
- July 2015
- June 2015
- May 2015
- April 2015
- March 2015
- February 2015
- January 2015
- December 2014
- November 2014
- October 2014
- September 2014
- August 2014
- July 2014
- June 2014
- May 2014
- April 2014
- March 2014
- February 2014
- January 2014
- December 2013
- November 2013
- October 2013
- September 2013
- August 2013
- July 2013
- June 2013
- May 2013
- April 2013
- March 2013
- February 2013
- January 2013
- December 2012
- November 2012
- October 2012
- September 2012
- August 2012
- July 2012
- June 2012
- May 2012
- April 2012
- March 2012
- February 2012
- January 2012
- December 2011
- November 2011
- October 2011
- September 2011
- August 2011
- July 2011
- June 2011
- May 2011
- April 2011
- March 2011
- February 2011
- January 2011
- December 2010
- November 2010
- October 2010
- September 2010
- August 2010
- July 2010
- June 2010
- May 2010
- April 2010
- March 2010
- February 2010
- January 2010
- December 2009
- November 2009
- October 2009
- September 2009
- August 2009
- July 2009
- June 2009
- May 2009
- April 2009
- March 2009
- February 2009
- January 2009
- December 2008
- November 2008
- October 2008
- September 2008
- August 2008
- July 2008
- June 2008
- May 2008
- April 2008
- March 2008
- February 2008
- January 2008
- December 2007
- November 2007
- October 2007
- September 2007
- August 2007
- July 2007
- June 2007
- May 2007
- April 2007
- March 2007
- February 2007
- January 2007
- December 2006
- November 2006
- October 2006
- September 2006
- August 2006
- July 2006
- June 2006
- May 2006
- April 2006
- March 2006
- February 2006
- January 2006
- December 2005
- November 2005
- October 2005
- September 2005
- August 2005
- July 2005






Eddy Elfenbein is a Washington, DC-based speaker, portfolio manager and editor of the blog Crossing Wall Street. His